Their current standing of 1478 is best read next to the form that produced it. In their 10 recorded matches they are 3W 4D 3L, 15 scored and 16 conceded, 1.3 points per game.
The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. In our record of their last 35 games across competitions, the biggest margin in their favour is 4 goals, from a 5-1. Taking their latest 35 recorded matches across competitions, at their most settled they went 4 matches unbeaten. Their last 35 matches on our books across competitions show 47 scored and 47 conceded. The attacking half is the one carrying the gap to average. Taking their latest 35 recorded matches across competitions, clean sheets number 8, or 23% of matches played. Facing the field-average side, they would expect 45.8% of points. The scoring record credits Casper Tengstedt with 3 goals. Against the 1500 starting rating they are 22 points below. Over five recorded matches: 1 won, 2 lost. The run carries a -1 goal difference. The model's present valuation is 1478, on a base of 39 matches. Relative to a 17-team field: 29 points below the average rating, scores 0.01 below the mean going forward, concedes 0.07 above it at the back.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Toulouse rate 1478 in our Elo model. Toulouse lost to Olympique Lyon 0-2 in Ligue 1's 2026/27 season, then drew with Brest 2-2, lost to Lille 0-1, drew with Lorient 2-2 and beat Le Havre 3-2. The recorded goals include contributions by Casper Tengstedt (3), Jacen Russell-Rowe, Christ Tapé and Thomas Jørgensen. Toulouse averaged 1.33 points at home and 1.18 away over the latest 35 recorded matches across competitions. Their heaviest win was 5-1 on 17 January 2026. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 12 April 2026.