Start with the recent run. A 3-2-5 return from 10 recorded matches gives 1.1 points per game, with 14 scored against 15. Behind it the model carries them at 1500.
In our record of their last 40 games across competitions, they average 1.30 scored against 1.35 allowed. Taking their last 40 games on record across competitions gives 52 scored against 54 shipped. In our record of their last 40 games across competitions, they once strung 3 matches together without losing. That is 0 points above the 1500 every team starts from. Over five recorded matches: 2 won, 2 lost. In our record of their last 40 games across competitions, home and away the record divides into 10-2-7 and 5-6-10. Looking at their last 40 matches on record across competitions, 3-0 is the scoreline they will point to, 3 goals the sample's widest. Against the 19-team field they are 5 points clear of mean rating, scores 0.12 above average in attack and concedes 0.09 above it defensively. Net goals for the period: -1. The rating stands at 1500, built from 42 rated matches. Looking at their last 40 matches on record across competitions, 7 shutouts have come from 40 matches.
Source: our own elo-poisson-v1 model, run over the complete match record.
Team Overview
Sassuolo have an Elo score of 1500 under our model. Sassuolo lost to Atalanta 1-2 in the 2026/27 Serie A; subsequently they beat Torino 2-1, drew with Bologna 2-2, beat Juventus 3-2 and lost to Monza 1-2. Our match records include goals from Vasilije Adzic (2), Cas Odenthal, Cristian Volpato and Domenico Berardi. Sassuolo kept 7 clean sheets across their last 40 matches in our records, all competitions, a 17.5% share. Sassuolo averaged 1.68 points at home and 1.00 away. Their worst defeat was 0-5 on 8 February 2026. Sassuolo's Elo rose 33 points between 23 August 2026 and 19 September 2026, moving from 1467 to 1500.