Against competition average across 17 teams — 201 points clear of on rating, scores 0.27 above on scoring, concedes 0.43 below on conceding. The underlying figure is 1689, over 48 rated matches.
Looking at their last 45 matches on record across competitions, no win has been more emphatic than 4-0, 4 clear. The sample includes a run of 7 straight wins. Against the field-average side, that rating would expect 76.1% of the points. Across their last 45 matches in our records, all competitions included, their rate comes to 2.04 goals a game at one end and 1.16 at the other. Net goals for the period: +13. Our record of their last 45 matches across competitions shows 92 scored and 52 conceded. Competition averages use our recorded results from 2025 onward. Against the 1500 seed they sit 189 points above. In our record of their last 45 games across competitions, the best sequence without defeat was 11. Over five recorded matches: 5 won, 0 lost. Taking their latest 45 recorded matches across competitions, clean sheets number 18, or 40% of matches played. In our record of their last 45 games across competitions, they have also been beaten 1-4, the largest deficit.
Source: our own elo-poisson-v1 model, run over the complete match record.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Dortmund is 1689. Dortmund beat HSV 2-0 in Bundesliga's 2026/27 season, then beat Hoffenheim 3-2, beat SC Paderborn 3-0 and beat Stuttgart 1-0. Dortmund's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins in Bundesliga 2026/27. Our match records include goals from Sehrou Guirassy (3), Ioannis Konstantelias and Fábio Silva. Dortmund conceded 52 goals across competitions in the most recent 45 matches we hold, averaging 1.16 per game. Dortmund scored 92 goals at 2.04 per game. Dortmund kept 18 clean sheets, a 40.0% share. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 26 April 2026. Dortmund's Elo rose 38 points between 29 August 2026 and 19 September 2026, moving from 1651 to 1689.