They have taken 0.8 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 11 and conceding 18. The rating sitting behind that is 1535.
They sit 35 points above the 1500 starting rating. Across their last 49 matches in our records, all competitions included, the longest run without defeat is 5. Current rating: 1535, drawn from 46 matches in the model's corpus. In our record of their last 49 games across competitions, broken down by venue: 10-6-9 at home, 10-3-11 elsewhere. Taking their latest 49 recorded matches across competitions, clean sheets number 12, or 24% of matches played. In our record of their last 49 games across competitions, the widest they have won by is 5, in a 5-0. On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.10 scored, 1.80 conceded. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. Bobby Clark is on the scoresheet with 2 goals. In component terms: 1.10 scoring rate against a 0.95 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. Against the field-average side, that rating would expect 57.8% of the points.
Too few recorded points so far to show how this rating has moved.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Derby County rate 1535 in our Elo model. Derby County lost to Charlton 1-2 during the 2026/27 Championship, then drew with Cardiff 2-2, lost to Swansea 0-3, beat Portsmouth 2-0, lost to West Ham 0-3, lost to West Brom 0-1, lost to Birmingham 1-2 and drew with Burnley 1-1. Samuel Szmodics (2), Bobby Clark (2), Carlton Morris and Lars-Jørgen Salvesen scored in recorded matches. Derby County averaged 1.44 points at home and 1.38 away across competitions in the most recent 49 matches we hold. Their heaviest win was 5-0 on 30 January 2026.