Form first: The 10 matches on record have produced 1.7 points per game — 4-5-1 with a 14-10 goal record. That supports a current rating of 1556.
Looking at their last 39 matches on record across competitions, per match: 1.41 scored, 1.36 conceded. The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.40 scored, 1.00 conceded. Set against the 22 teams in the same competition, they sit 16 points clear of the mean rating, scores 0.06 below its average scoring rate and concedes 0.19 below its average conceding rate. The defensive component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored 2 goals. Against the 1500 seed they sit 56 points above. Goals for and against net to +4. Our record of their last 39 matches across competitions shows 55 scored and 53 conceded. Facing the field-average side, they would expect 52.3% of points. Across the five newest recorded results: 2 won, 0 lost. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, no loss has been wider than 4 goals, in a 0-4. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, the longest run without defeat is 8.
These are elo-poisson-v1 figures computed in-house from every recorded result.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Leeds United is 1556; they are in the lower half of the Premier League field. Leeds United beat Nottingham 1-0 during the 2026/27 Premier League; next they drew with Brentford 1-1, drew with Brighton Hove 1-1, beat Newcastle 4-1 and drew with Crystal Palace 0-0. Leeds United are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in Premier League 2026/27. The recorded goals include contributions by Dominic Calvert-Lewin (2), Jayden Bogle (2) and Noah Okafor. Leeds United kept 8 clean sheets over the latest 39 recorded matches across competitions, a 20.5% share. Leeds United averaged 1.65 points at home and 1.00 away. In the 2026/27 Premier League standings, Leeds United had the joint-lowest goals-against average per match. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 31 January 2026.