Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.5 points per game, 3 won, 6 drawn, 1 lost. The rating sitting behind that is 1506.
On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.50 scored, 1.30 conceded. Against competition average across 26 teams — 25 points clear of on rating, scores 0.04 below on scoring, concedes 0.17 below on conceding. 10 goals are credited to Jay Stansfield. Attack reads 0.88, defence 0.86 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. Goals for and against net to +2. In our record of their last 49 games across competitions, broken down by venue: 11-11-3 at home, 6-6-12 elsewhere. The figure is 1506, supported by 46 matches of record. Looking at their last 49 matches on record across competitions, the worst result for them is a 0-3 defeat. The defensive component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. Looking at their last 49 matches on record across competitions, 4-0 is the scoreline they will point to, 4 goals the sample's widest.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Birmingham have an Elo score of 1506 under our model. Birmingham drew with Sheffield Utd 0-0 in the 2026/27 Championship, then drew with Bristol City 2-2, beat Wrexham 2-1, drew with Southampton 1-1, drew with Wolverhampton 2-2, lost to Norwich 1-2, beat Derby County 2-1 and drew with Middlesbrough 2-2. Phil Neumann (2), Carlos Vicente (2), Demarai Gray and August Priske scored in recorded matches. Birmingham averaged 1.76 points at home and 1.00 away over the latest 49 recorded matches across competitions. Their heaviest win was 4-0 on 4 November 2025.