Treat this figure carefully: 1423, but from only 3 rated matches. A rating on that base can move by tens of points on a single result.
Against competition average across 47 teams — 85 points below on rating, scores 0.19 below on scoring, concedes 0.02 below on conceding. A 0-0-3 return from 3 matches since 2026 gives 0.0 points per game, with 0 scored against 4. That leaves them -4 on goal difference across the sample. The model's present valuation is 1423, on a base of 3 matches. That works out at 0.00 scored and 1.33 conceded per match over the sample. Most of their edge over the field is defensive. The two halves read 0.83 and 1.00, where a lower second number is stronger. Out of 4,449 rated sides they rank 4052. Roughly 91.1% of the rated field sits ahead of them. The last 3 have all been defeats. The peer comparison is drawn from matches since 2025.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.