10 recorded matches have brought 2 wins and 6 losses, 6-17 on goals at 0.8 a game. The rating sitting behind that is 1421.
Component-wise that is 0.79 forward and 1.20 back, the smaller defensive figure being the better one. Net goals for the period: -11. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. They carry 1421, computed over 26 rated matches. Across competitions, the latest 28 fixtures in our records total 28 for and 42 against. That works out at 0.60 scored and 1.70 conceded per match over the sample. In the five newest recorded matches they won 1 and lost 3. Across their last 28 matches in our records, all competitions included, their most comfortable afternoon ended 4-1. They sit 79 points below the 1500 starting rating. Taking their latest 28 recorded matches across competitions, clean sheets number 10, or 36% of matches played. A match against the field-average side is worth about 38.3% of the points to them. Taking their latest 28 recorded matches across competitions, at their most settled they went 3 matches unbeaten. Compared with the rest of the competition (19 teams): 83 points below the mean, scores 0.23 below average scoring, concedes 0.21 above average conceding.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Vitória rate 1421 in our Elo model; they are one of the three lowest-rated sides in the Brasileirão Série A. Vitória drew with Botafogo 0-0 in Brasileirão Série A's 2026 season; next they lost to Clube do Remo 0-2, lost to Palmeiras 0-4, lost to Flamengo 0-2, beat Botafogo 1-0, lost to Bahia 0-2, lost to Mineiro 1-2, beat Grêmio 1-0, drew with Mirassol 2-2 and lost to Cruzeiro 1-3. The recorded goals include contributions by Carlos Renê (3), Matheuzinho (2), Renato Kayzer and Erick. Vitória scored 28 goals at 1 per game across competitions in the most recent 28 matches we hold. Vitória kept 10 clean sheets, a 35.7% share. Vitória averaged 2.00 points at home and 0.36 away. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 30 July 2026. Vitória's Elo fell 46 points between 27 July 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1467 to 1421. Vitória rate 83 Elo points below the other Brasileirão Série A sides' average.