Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 0.8 points per game, 2 won, 2 drawn, 6 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1446.
The peer comparison uses recorded results dated 2025 onward. Split into parts: 0.78 attack, 0.99 defence — on the latter, lower is better. 1446 is the current figure, computed across 27 rated matches. Compared with the rest of the competition (19 teams): 57 points below the mean, scores 0.23 below average scoring, concedes 0.01 below average conceding. Our record of their last 28 matches across competitions shows 29 scored and 32 conceded. On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.10 scored, 1.30 conceded. Against the field-average side, their expected share of points is 41.9%. That leaves them -2 on goal difference across the sample. They sit 54 points below the 1500 starting rating. In our record of their last 28 games across competitions, a margin of 3 — the 3-0 — is the high-water mark in that sample. Across the five newest recorded results: 0 won, 5 lost. Across their last 28 matches in our records, all competitions included, the worst went the other way, 1-3, 2 goals adrift.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Corinthians rate 1446 in our Elo model; they are in the lower half of the Brasileirão Série A field. Corinthians beat Clube do Remo 3-0 in Brasileirão Série A's 2026 season; next they drew with Bahia 1-1, drew with Paranaense 0-0, beat Bragantino 2-0, lost to Cruzeiro 1-2, lost to Coritiba 1-2, lost to Santos 0-1, lost to Chapecoense 1-2, lost to Flamengo 1-2 and lost to Fluminense 1-3. Corinthians's current recorded form ends with 6 consecutive defeats in Brasileirão Série A 2026. Yuri Alberto (2), Gustavo Henrique (2), Kaio César and Fabrizio Angileri scored in recorded matches. Corinthians conceded 32 goals across competitions in the most recent 28 matches we hold, averaging 1.14 per game. Corinthians scored 29 goals at 1.04 per game. Corinthians kept 10 clean sheets, a 35.7% share. Corinthians averaged 1.20 points at home and 1.08 away. Corinthians's Elo fell 63 points between 26 July 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1509 to 1446.