3 wins in 10 is the headline; the rating underneath reads 1500, from 26 rated matches.
Looking at their last 27 matches on record across competitions, 6 without losing is the sample's longest run for them. Across their last 27 matches in our records, all competitions included, no loss has been wider than 2 goals, in a 0-2. The peer set of 19 teams puts them 0 points clear of average rating, scores 0.15 below the mean forward, concedes 0.16 below it back. Across the five newest recorded results: 3 won, 2 lost. 1500 is the current figure, computed across 26 rated matches. Averaged out that is 0.90 goals a game at one end and 1.10 at the other. That is worth 50.0% of points against field-average opposition. Most of their edge over the field is defensive. Attack reads 0.86, defence 0.85 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. Net goals for the period: -2. Taking their latest 27 recorded matches across competitions, home form stands at 8W 3D 2L against 2W 3D 9L on their travels. That is 0 points above the 1500 every team starts from.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
São Paulo rate 1500 in our Elo model; they are in the upper half of the Brasileirão Série A field. São Paulo lost to Clube do Remo 0-1 in the 2026 Brasileirão Série A; subsequently they lost to Paranaense 1-2, drew with Flamengo 1-1, lost to Grêmio 1-2, drew with Coritiba 1-1, lost to Chapecoense 0-1, beat Bragantino 2-1, beat Mineiro 2-0, lost to Palmeiras 0-2 and beat Internacional 1-0. The recorded goals include contributions by Jonathan Calleri (2), Luciano (2), Artur Guimaraes and Marcos Antônio. São Paulo conceded 30 goals across competitions in the most recent 27 matches we hold, averaging 1.11 per game. São Paulo averaged 2.08 points at home and 0.64 away. Our model ranks São Paulo's defence 3rd in Brasileirão Série A.