Start with the recent run. The 10 matches on record have produced 1.9 points per game — 5-4-1 with a 19-14 goal record. Behind it the model carries them at 1559.
Which is 1.90 scored per match against 1.40 shipped. Across their last 28 matches in our records, all competitions included, that is 1.54 goals a game with 1.14 conceded. In our record of their last 28 games across competitions, they have also been beaten 0-3, the largest deficit. Across their last 28 matches in our records, all competitions included, their longest unbeaten stretch ran to 10 matches. 1559 is the current figure, computed across 26 rated matches. In our record of their last 28 games across competitions, the biggest margin in their favour is 3 goals, from a 4-1. The five newest recorded results break down as 2 wins and 1 defeat. They sit 59 points above the 1500 starting rating. Combining competitions over their last 28 recorded matches gives totals of 43 scored and 32 conceded. Looking at their last 28 matches on record across competitions, 8 shutouts have come from 28 matches. A match against the field-average side is worth about 58.8% of the points to them.
Generated by elo-poisson-v1 across full history rather than republished.
Team Overview
Paranaense have an Elo score of 1559 under our model; they are in the top quarter of the Brasileirão Série A field. Paranaense beat São Paulo 2-1 in Brasileirão Série A's 2026 season; next they beat Internacional 2-0, drew with Corinthians 0-0, beat Santos 2-0, drew with Bragantino 1-1, beat Botafogo 3-2, drew with Fluminense 3-3, lost to Cruzeiro 1-3, drew with Coritiba 3-3 and beat Bahia 2-1. Our match records include goals from Kevin Viveros (6), Leozinho (4), João Victor (2) and Kerwin Vargas. Paranaense conceded 32 goals over the latest 28 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 1.14 per game. Paranaense scored 43 goals at 1.54 per game. Paranaense rate 62 Elo points above the other Brasileirão Série A sides' average.