Start with the recent run. Recorded sample: 3 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats in 10, at 1.1 points per game, 15 for and 16 against. Behind it the model carries them at 1473.
Relative to a 19-team field: 24 points below the average rating, scores 0.01 below the mean going forward, concedes 0.03 above it at the back. Looking at their last 40 matches on record across competitions, 3-0 is the scoreline they will point to, 3 goals the sample's widest. The model's present valuation is 1473, on a base of 42 matches. The recorded sequence ends on 3 defeats in a row. Taking their latest 40 recorded matches across competitions, at their most settled they went 3 matches unbeaten. The two halves read 0.91 and 0.99, where a lower second number is stronger. Their output across the last 40 recorded games in all competitions stands at 49 goals, with 57 let in. Taking their latest 40 recorded matches across competitions, at the other extreme they lost 1-5, a 4-goal margin. In our record of their last 40 games across competitions, they average 1.23 scored against 1.43 allowed. Against the field-average side, their expected share of points is 46.6%.
Produced by our elo-poisson-v1 model over full match history.
Team Overview
Udinese have an Elo score of 1473 under our model. Udinese drew with Como 1907 1-1 in the 2026/27 Serie A; subsequently they beat Monza 3-2, lost to Lazio 1-2, lost to Inter 3-5 and lost to Cagliari 0-1. Hassane Kamara (2), Jurgen Ekkelenkamp (2), Jakub Piotrowski and Jesper Karlström scored in recorded matches. Udinese averaged 1.10 points at home and 1.26 away over the latest 40 recorded matches across competitions. Their worst defeat was 1-5 on 21 December 2025. Udinese's Elo fell 46 points between 22 August 2026 and 19 September 2026, moving from 1519 to 1473.