Bosnia-H.'s rating of 1471 rests on 4 rated matches, too few to be settled. We publish it because it is what the model holds, not because the precision is earned.
Most of their edge over the field is attacking. The model's present valuation is 1471, on a base of 4 matches. Form over 4: 1.0 points per game, 1 won, 1 drawn, 2 lost. Scoring ran at 1.25 a game with 2.00 conceded. Compared with the rest of the competition (47 teams): 36 points below the mean, scores 0.03 below average scoring, concedes 0.09 above average conceding. On goals they are -3 across the period. Peers are measured over results since 2025. In component terms: 0.98 scoring rate against a 1.10 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. Roughly 68.6% of the rated field sits ahead of them. That is 3052th of 4,449 rated teams, inside the top 68.6%.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.