Start with the recent run. Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.2 points per game, 2 won, 6 drawn, 2 lost. Behind it the model carries them at 1561.
1561 is the current figure, computed across 43 rated matches. Per match that is 1.40 at one end, 1.20 at the other. Competition averages use our recorded results from 2025 onward. Looking at their last 39 matches on record across competitions, no win has been more emphatic than 3-0, 3 clear. Attack reads 1.04, defence 0.96 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, that is 1.49 goals a game with 1.46 conceded. Their rating converts to 53.0% of points against field-average opposition. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 61 points above it. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, 9 of those 39 ended as clean sheets, 23% of the sample. The five newest recorded results break down as 0 wins and 2 defeats. In our record of their last 39 games across competitions, the best sequence without defeat was 18.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Bournemouth is 1561; they are in the upper half of the Premier League field. Bournemouth lost to Man City 1-2 during the 2026/27 Premier League; next they drew with Everton 1-1, drew with Newcastle 2-2, drew with Brentford 2-2 and lost to Liverpool 0-1. Our match records include goals from Marcus Tavernier (3), Alex Scott and Justin Kluivert. Bournemouth conceded 57 goals across competitions in the most recent 39 matches we hold, averaging 1.46 per game. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 9 November 2025.