Start with the recent run. They have taken 1.6 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 16 and conceding 12. Behind it the model carries them at 1616.
Their expected share against field-average opposition comes to about 51.4%. In our record of their last 30 games across competitions, the recorded sequence ends with 2 consecutive victories. 1616 is the current figure, computed across 464 rated matches. Set against the 16 teams in the same competition, they sit 10 points clear of the mean rating, scores 0.03 above its average scoring rate and concedes 0.05 below its average conceding rate. Looking at their last 30 matches on record across competitions, the venue split is 6-6-2 home, 3-8-5 away. In our record of their last 30 games across competitions, their heaviest defeat reads 0-1. Taking their latest 30 recorded matches across competitions, the heaviest beating they have handed out finished 2-0. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 2 wins against 0 losses. Averaged out that is 1.60 goals a game at one end and 1.20 at the other.
Trend data has started collecting; there are too few points to show a curve yet.
All figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output rather than a provider feed.