Start with the recent run. A 1-4-5 return from 10 recorded matches gives 0.7 points per game, with 6 scored against 12. Behind it the model carries them at 1506.
That is worth 39.4% of points against field-average opposition. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. Taking their latest 39 recorded matches across competitions, home form stands at 7W 5D 7L against 2W 8D 10L on their travels. They carry 1506, computed over 311 rated matches. Looking at their last 39 matches on record across competitions, 2-0 is the scoreline they will point to, 2 goals the sample's widest. Across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions included, no loss has been wider than 4 goals, in a 1-5. Every rated team begins at 1500; they sit 6 points above it. They scored 42 and conceded 60 in their last 39 recorded matches, all competitions included. That leaves them -6 on goal difference across the sample. Over five recorded matches: 0 won, 2 lost. The defensive half is the one carrying the gap to average.
The series behind this rating is still short — no curve is drawn from it yet.
Everything here comes from our elo-poisson-v1 rating, not a third-party statistic.
Team Overview
Al-Fateh have an Elo score of 1506 under our model. Al-Fateh lost to Al-Nassr 0-3 in Saudi Pro League's 2026/27 season, then lost to Al-Ettifaq 0-1, drew with Al-Faisaly FC 1-1, drew with Al-Ittihad FC 0-0, drew with Al Taawon 0-0, lost to Al Diriyah 1-2 and lost to NEOM 2-4. L. Haraslin, Faisal Abdulwahed, Mourad Batna and Wilfried Kanga scored in recorded matches. Al-Fateh averaged 1.37 points at home and 0.70 away across their last 39 matches in our records, all competitions. Their worst defeat was 1-5 on 18 October 2025.