Start with the recent run. The 10 matches on record have produced 0.6 points per game — 1-3-6 with a 12-23 goal record. Behind it the model carries them at 1464.
That is 36 points below the 1500 start. Peers are measured over recorded results dated 2025 onward. Taking their latest 30 recorded matches across competitions, at their most settled they went 3 matches unbeaten. Across their last 30 matches in our records, all competitions included, where they play has mattered: 7-2-6 at their own ground, 4-2-9 away from it. Looking at their last 30 matches on record across competitions, 5 shutouts have come from 30 matches. Scoring ran at 1.20 a game with 2.30 conceded. That is worth 48.7% of points against field-average opposition. Across the five newest recorded results: 1 won, 3 lost. Looking back over their last 30 recorded matches across competitions, the goal totals are 37 and 58. Of the two halves, the attacking side is where they separate most from competition average. Compared with the rest of the competition (12 teams): 9 points below the mean, scores 0.16 below average scoring, concedes 0.21 above average conceding.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Al-Gharafa is 1464. Al-Gharafa beat Al Shahaniya 2-1 in Qatar Stars League's 2026/27 season; next they lost to Al Shamal 1-3, lost to Al Sadd 1-4 and drew with Lusail City 0-0. The recorded goals include contributions by F. Diaz and Yacine Brahimi. Al-Gharafa conceded 58 goals across their last 30 matches in our records, all competitions, averaging 1.93 per game. Al-Gharafa scored 37 goals at 1.23 per game. Their worst defeat was 0-7 on 10 February 2026.