Start with the recent run. 10 recorded matches have brought 4 wins and 4 losses, 14-16 on goals at 1.4 a game. Behind it the model carries them at 1535.
Per game across those matches: 1.40 for, 1.60 against. From the model's 1500 seed, they stand 35 points above it. Across the five newest recorded results: 1 won, 3 lost. Set against the 29 teams in the same competition, they sit 26 points clear of the mean rating, scores 0.08 above its average scoring rate and concedes 0.00 above its average conceding rate. Looking at their last 38 matches on record across competitions, the worst result for them is a 0-5 defeat. Looking at their last 38 matches on record across competitions, 6 without losing is the sample's longest run for them. Looking at their last 38 matches on record across competitions, per match: 1.82 scored, 1.61 conceded. Across their last 38 matches in our records, all competitions included, a 5-0 stands as the sample's most one-sided win for them. Their expected share against field-average opposition comes to about 53.7%. Counting their latest 38 recorded matches across competitions, they made 69 goals and allowed 61.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for San Diego is 1535. San Diego beat FC Dallas 1-0 in Major League Soccer's 2026 season; next they drew with Minnesota United FC 1-1, beat Los Angeles FC 1-0, lost to Portland Timbers 1-3, beat Colorado Rapids 3-0, beat Los Angeles Galaxy 3-1, lost to Orlando City SC 0-1, lost to San Jose Earthquakes 2-3, lost to Philadelphia Union 0-5 and drew with Inter Miami 2-2. Our match records include goals from A. Dreyer (4), Gabriel Pirani (2), E. Achouri (2) and A. Alvarado Jr. Their heaviest win was 5-0 on 14 May 2026 over the latest 38 recorded matches across competitions. Their worst defeat was 0-5 on 14 September 2026.