They have taken 1.3 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. The rating sitting behind that is 1449.
Their advantage over the field is mostly defensive. Narrowing the records to five matches gives 2 wins against 0 losses. 7 successive matches in our records passed without defeat. 1449 is the current figure, computed across 202 rated matches. Benchmarked to the 29-team field they come out 63 points below average, scores 0.35 below it in attack, concedes 0.03 below it in defence. In our record of their last 33 games across competitions, the widest they have won by is 2, in a 3-1. Taking their latest 33 recorded matches across competitions, the average sits at 1.21 for, 1.79 against. The recorded comparison window opens in 2025. Scoring ran at 1.00 a game with 1.20 conceded. Facing the field-average side, they would expect 41.0% of points. Taking their latest 33 recorded matches across competitions, at the other extreme they lost 0-5, a 5-goal margin. Our record of their last 33 matches across competitions shows 40 scored and 59 conceded. Looking at their last 33 matches on record across competitions, 6 shutouts have come from 33 matches.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Austin have an Elo score of 1449 under our model. Austin lost to Houston Dynamo 0-3 in Major League Soccer's 2026 season, then lost to Colorado Rapids 0-1, lost to FC Dallas 1-2, beat Seattle Sounders 2-1, drew with Philadelphia Union 1-1, beat Portland Timbers 2-1, drew with San Jose Earthquakes 1-1, drew with Colorado Rapids 1-1, beat Vancouver Whitecaps 2-1 and drew with FC Dallas 0-0. Austin are unbeaten in the latest 7 matches of their recorded form in Major League Soccer 2026. F. Torres (2), Christian Ramirez (2), I. Sanchez and M. Uzuni scored in recorded matches. Austin scored 40 goals at 1.21 per game across competitions in the most recent 33 matches we hold. Their worst defeat was 0-5 on 14 May 2026. Austin's Elo rose 51 points between 26 July 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1398 to 1449.