Form first: 10 recorded matches have brought 4 wins and 4 losses, 18-17 on goals at 1.4 a game. That supports a current rating of 1459.
That is worth 42.6% of points against field-average opposition. In component terms: 1.15 scoring rate against a 1.32 conceding rate, lower being better on the second. In our record of their last 35 games across competitions, they average 1.60 scored against 1.89 allowed. Across their last 35 matches in our records, all competitions included, no loss has been wider than 4 goals, in a 0-4. The model's present valuation is 1459, on a base of 529 matches. The run carries a +1 goal difference. They scored 56 and conceded 66 in their last 35 recorded matches, all competitions included. The attacking component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. Averaged out that is 1.80 goals a game at one end and 1.70 at the other. Taking their latest 35 recorded matches across competitions, they have won by as much as 6, taking a fixture 6-0. Taking their latest 35 recorded matches across competitions, home form stands at 8W 5D 5L against 2W 3D 12L on their travels.
Our elo-poisson-v1 model produced the above from the full match record.
Team Overview
Portland Timbers have an Elo score of 1459 under our model. Portland Timbers beat Real Salt Lake 2-1 in the 2026 Major League Soccer; next they beat Seattle Sounders 2-1, lost to Chicago Fire 1-2, beat San Diego 3-1, drew with Los Angeles FC 1-1, lost to Austin 1-2, beat Minnesota United FC 5-4, drew with St. Louis City 2-2, lost to FC Dallas 1-2 and lost to Atlanta United FC 0-1. K. Kelsy (4), F. Mora (3), Vincent Janssen (3) and Kristoffer Velde (3) scored in recorded matches. Portland Timbers conceded 66 goals across competitions in the most recent 35 matches we hold, averaging 1.89 per game. Portland Timbers kept 1 clean sheets, a 2.9% share. Portland Timbers averaged 1.61 points at home and 0.53 away. Their heaviest win was 6-0 on 10 May 2026. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 10 November 2025.