3 wins in 10 is the headline; the rating underneath reads 1462, from 520 rated matches.
In the five newest recorded matches they won 1 and lost 2. On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.70 scored, 2.00 conceded. Attack reads 1.20, defence 1.39 — remembering that a smaller defensive figure is the stronger one. Across their last 31 matches in our records, all competitions included, their own ground has produced 5 wins from 16; away from it, 2 from 15. Form in 10 recorded matches: 1.3 points per game, 3 won, 4 drawn, 3 lost. Competition averages use our recorded results from 2025 onward. The attacking component is what puts distance between them and a typical side here. In our record of their last 31 games across competitions, the best sequence without defeat was 7. Current rating: 1462, drawn from 520 matches in the model's corpus. That is worth 43.0% of points against field-average opposition. In our record of their last 31 games across competitions, the rate is 1.52 scored and 1.84 against per match. In our record of their last 31 games across competitions, they have shut out the opposition 3 times in 31.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
Toronto FC rate 1462 in our Elo model. Toronto FC lost to DC United 1-2 in the 2026 Major League Soccer; subsequently they drew with New York City FC 1-1, beat New England Revolution 2-1, drew with Charlotte 3-3, beat Inter Miami 2-1, drew with New York City FC 1-1, drew with Chicago Fire 4-4, beat Nashville SC 2-1, lost to Orlando City SC 0-3 and lost to St. Louis City 1-3. Josh Sargent (2), D. Mihailovic, N. Dorsch and J. Sargent scored in recorded matches. Toronto FC conceded 57 goals over the latest 31 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 1.84 per game. Toronto FC kept 3 clean sheets, a 9.7% share. Toronto FC's Elo rose 53 points between 26 July 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1409 to 1462.