Start with the recent run. The 10 matches on record have produced 1.0 points per game — 2-4-4 with a 12-19 goal record. Behind it the model carries them at 1504.
On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.20 scored, 1.90 conceded. The two halves read 1.17 and 1.21, where a lower second number is stronger. Across their last 30 matches in our records, all competitions included, their own ground has produced 6 wins from 15; away from it, 8 from 15. Compared with the rest of the competition (29 teams): 6 points below the mean, scores 0.01 below average scoring, concedes 0.01 above average conceding. That is 4 points above the 1500 every team starts from. Against the field-average side, that rating would expect 49.1% of the points. Net goals for the period: -7. Taking their latest 30 recorded matches across competitions, the heaviest beating they have handed out finished 5-1. They are unbeaten in 5 successive recorded matches. Current rating: 1504, drawn from 496 matches in the model's corpus. Their output across the last 30 recorded games in all competitions stands at 51 goals, with 46 let in.
In-house elo-poisson-v1 numbers, derived from the complete result corpus.
Team Overview
San Jose Earthquakes have an Elo score of 1504 under our model. San Jose Earthquakes drew with Los Angeles Galaxy 1-1 during the 2026 Major League Soccer; subsequently they lost to FC Cincinnati 2-4, lost to St. Louis City 1-3, lost to Los Angeles Galaxy 0-1, lost to Minnesota United FC 1-5, drew with Houston Dynamo 0-0, drew with Austin 1-1, beat San Diego 3-2, beat Houston Dynamo 1-0 and drew with Los Angeles FC 2-2. San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in Major League Soccer 2026. The recorded goals include contributions by T. Werner (2), R. Roberts, D. Munie and B. Leroux. San Jose Earthquakes kept 8 clean sheets over the latest 30 recorded matches across competitions, a 26.7% share. San Jose Earthquakes averaged 1.40 points at home and 1.80 away. Their heaviest win was 5-1 on 23 April 2026. Their worst defeat was 1-5 on 23 August 2026. San Jose Earthquakes's Elo fell 68 points between 26 July 2026 and 20 September 2026, moving from 1571 to 1504.