Benchmarked to the 21-team field they come out 302 points clear of average, scores 0.44 above it in attack, concedes 0.17 below it in defence. The underlying figure is 1850, over 526 rated matches.
The comparison set contains recorded results from 2025. In our record of their last 36 games across competitions, their heaviest defeat reads 0-3. Against the field-average side, that rating would expect 85.0% of the points. They are unbeaten in 8 successive recorded matches. In our record of their last 36 games across competitions, they have shut out the opposition 16 times in 36. That is 350 points above the 1500 every team starts from. A 8-1-1 return from 10 recorded matches gives 2.5 points per game, with 19 scored against 7. On a per-match basis the same run reads 1.90 scored, 0.70 conceded. Their latest 36 recorded matches across competitions brought 58 goals scored and 28 against. In our record of their last 36 games across competitions, broken down by venue: 14-3-1 at home, 8-7-3 elsewhere. On goals they are +12 across the period.
A rating history is being recorded but does not yet hold enough points to plot.
All figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output rather than a provider feed.
Team Overview
Al Ahly have an Elo score of 1850 under our model. Al Ahly beat Enppi 3-2 in Egyptian Premier League's 2026/27 season, then beat Masr 2-0, beat Smouha SC 1-0, drew with El Mokawloon 1-1 and beat Abu Qair Semad 2-0. Al Ahly are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in Egyptian Premier League 2026/27. Zizo Sayed (2), M. Ateya, Zizo and A. Bencharki scored in recorded matches. Al Ahly conceded 28 goals across their last 36 matches in our records, all competitions, averaging 0.78 per game. Al Ahly scored 58 goals at 1.61 per game. Al Ahly kept 16 clean sheets, a 44.4% share. Al Ahly averaged 2.50 points at home and 1.72 away.