Form first: They have taken 1.0 points a game from these 10 recorded matches, scoring 8 and conceding 19. That supports a current rating of 1459.
On a per-match basis the same run reads 0.80 scored, 1.90 conceded. They carry 1459, computed over 74 rated matches. The latest 6 matches we have recorded across competitions leave them 3-11 on goals. Taking their latest 6 recorded matches across competitions, the average sits at 0.50 for, 1.83 against. Taking their latest 6 recorded matches across competitions, they have won by as much as 1, taking a fixture 1-0. That field average uses results in our records from 2025. Across their last 6 matches in our records, all competitions included, no loss has been wider than 4 goals, in a 0-4. Against the 1500 seed they sit 41 points below. Goal difference over the run is -11. Looking at their last 6 matches on record across competitions, the venue split is 2-0-1 home, 0-1-2 away. That puts their expected points share against the field-average side at about 32.1%.
The series behind this rating is still short — no curve is drawn from it yet.
Source: our own elo-poisson-v1 model, run over the complete match record.
Team Overview
Our Elo rating for Erzurumspor FK is 1459. Erzurumspor FK lost to Amed 0-3 during the 2026/27 Süper Lig, then lost to Galatasaray 0-4, drew with Gençlerbirliği S.K. 1-1, beat Konyaspor 1-0, lost to Beşiktaş 0-3 and beat Samsunspor 1-0. The recorded goals include contributions by E. Tozlu and Eren Tozlu. Erzurumspor FK conceded 11 goals over the latest 6 recorded matches across competitions, averaging 1.83 per game. Erzurumspor FK scored 3 goals at 0.5 per game. Erzurumspor FK averaged 2.00 points at home and 0.33 away. Their worst defeat was 0-4 on 21 August 2026.