Prior record: 11-5-0 across 16 since 2016. Most recent 2025, 2-1 in Botola Pro. Currently 1591 against 1412 — a 70.5% / 19.5% / 10.0% split.
The gap between first and second outcome is 51.0 points, Wydad AC ahead of the draw. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. The three results cover 60.5 points. Versus the 1500 seed: +91 and -88. The higher rating belongs to the home side. Win-or-lose totals 80.5%; the draw takes the rest. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 1-0. The ratings draw on 365 and 246 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. The distribution peaks at 1-0, 19.7%, with 0-0 behind it at 15.5%. The tie closed out 1-0. The rating gap itself is 179 points, which is wide by the model's standards. Wydad AC holds both halves of the profile — 0.80 against 0.57 for scoring, 0.77 against 1.07 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Raw profiles are 0.80 and 0.77 against 0.57 and 1.07. The model's preferred outcome is Wydad AC at 70.5%.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
Before the match
Wydad AC: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; five goals scored, four conceded, keeping three clean sheets. UTS Rabat were their latest opponents, away on 24 October: a 1-0 win.
On 24 October, UTS Rabat faced Wydad AC in Botola Pro: Wydad AC won 1-0 away from home, having scored one and conceded zero. Botola Pro, 18 October brought a home meeting with Amal Tiznit; Wydad AC drew 1-1, a return of one goal scored and one conceded. Wydad AC hosted CODM Meknès on 11 October (Botola Pro) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded. Difaa EL Jadida hosted Wydad AC (Botola Pro) on 3 October. For Wydad AC, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 1-3 was Wydad AC's result against Widad Témara on 26 September (Botola Pro), playing at home; Wydad AC lost, with one scored to three conceded.
two goals for and eight against accompanied Moghreb Tetouan's three draws and two defeats across five outings, failing to score in three of those games, a winless run. On 24 October, Moghreb Tetouan recorded a 3-0 defeat hosting Widad Témara.
24 October: Moghreb Tetouan lost 0-3 against Widad Témara at home in Botola Pro, scoring zero goals and allowing three. Against Difaa EL Jadida in Botola Pro, Moghreb Tetouan scored one and conceded four on 17 October; the away from home result was 1-4. Moghreb Tetouan's at home game on 9 October (Botola Pro) ended 0-0 against FUS Rabat, with zero goals for and zero against. On 2 October, Ittihad Tanger faced Moghreb Tetouan in Botola Pro: Moghreb Tetouan drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one. Botola Pro, 27 September brought a home meeting with Renaissance Berkane; Moghreb Tetouan drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded.
Earlier results between these sides included a 2-1 away win for Wydad AC on 4 January 2025 and a 1-0 home win for Wydad AC on 14 September 2024.
After the match
Wydad AC edged past Moghreb Tetouan 1-0 at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca on 31 October 2026. Silvère Ganvoula opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 40th minute for Wydad AC to make it 1-0. Hicham Zeghari (17'), Joseph Bakasu (21'), Oussama Zemraoui (61'), Zakaria Benabbou (83') and Hamza Hannouri (86') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Wydad AC 179 points stronger than Moghreb Tetouan. 70.5% is Wydad AC's winning probability here from current model ratings, alongside their recorded victory. Wydad AC are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. three yellow cards went to Wydad AC. Wydad AC: five substitutions. Moghreb Tetouan: two yellow cards. Moghreb Tetouan made three changes. Wydad AC conceded no goals.