The head-to-head counts 20 recorded meetings since 2017: 12 to FAR Rabat, 1 to Ittihad Tanger, 7 drawn, 34-15 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 0-0 in Botola Pro. Today those sides rate 1772 and 1585, 187 apart, which resolves to 71.5% / 19.1% / 9.3%.
Outcomes span 62.2 points. xG: 1.26 to 0.71. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. FAR Rabat carries the largest share, 71.5%. Neither figure is thin: 323 and 305 matches respectively sit behind them. 80.8% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The match finished 2-0. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +272 and +85. A 187-point spread sits between the two figures. The home side is rated higher. Both components point the same way, toward FAR Rabat: 1.03 to 0.80 going forward, 0.66 to 0.82 going back. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. Attack/defence pairs: 1.03/0.66 and 0.80/0.82. FAR Rabat holds a 52.4-point edge on the next outcome. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 17.6%, clear of 0-0 on 14.0%. By expected share of the points: 81.0% and 19.0%. Rounded, that is 1-0.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
FAR Rabat's previous five results comprised two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 7 scored and 6 conceded. Latest: a 2-2 draw away to Hassania Agadir on 12 October.
FAR Rabat visited Hassania Agadir on 12 October (Botola Pro) and drew 2-2; their goals totalled two, compared with two conceded. Widad Témara travelled to face FAR Rabat (Botola Pro) on 8 October. For FAR Rabat, the score was 1-0: one goal scored, zero allowed. 2-1 was FAR Rabat's result against Stade Marocain on 8 July (Throne Cup), playing at home; FAR Rabat won, with two scored to one conceded. The 5 July fixture (Botola Pro) paired FAR Rabat with CR Khemis Zemamra. FAR Rabat drew 0-0 at home, netting zero goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against CODM Meknès (Botola Pro), FAR Rabat finished 2-3 on 2 July. Their score comprised two goals, against three from the opposition.
Ittihad Tanger: three wins, one draw and one defeat over five games; nine goals scored, six conceded. Maghreb Fès were their latest opponents, at home on 14 October: a 2-1 win.
On 14 October, Maghreb Fès faced Ittihad Tanger in Botola Pro: Ittihad Tanger won 2-1 at home, having scored two and conceded one. Botola Pro, 10 October brought an away meeting with Kawkab Marrakech; Ittihad Tanger lost 1-2, a return of one goal scored and two conceded. Ittihad Tanger hosted Moghreb Tetouan on 2 October (Botola Pro) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Amal Tiznit hosted Ittihad Tanger (Botola Pro) on 24 September. For Ittihad Tanger, the score was 3-1: three goals scored, one allowed. 2-1 was Ittihad Tanger's result against CODM Meknès on 5 July (Botola Pro), playing at home; Ittihad Tanger won, with two scored to one conceded.
The last two recorded meetings were a 0-0 draw at Ittihad Tanger on 3 May and a 1-1 draw at FAR Rabat on 1 October 2025.
After the match
FAR Rabat beat Ittihad Tanger 2-0 at Stade Prince Moulay Abdallah, Rabat on 28 October 2026. Youssef fahli al opened the scoring from the penalty spot 80 minutes into the game for FAR Rabat to make it 1-0. Abdelfettah Hadraf added to the tally in the 95th minute for FAR Rabat, set up by Anas Bach, to make it 2-0. Gape Mohutsiwa (52') was sent off. Akram El Wahabi (11'), Fallou Formose Mendy (30'), Bilal ouadghiri el (33'), Nadir Lougmani (87'), S. El Bouchqali (94') and Abdelfettah Hadraf (96') were booked. FAR Rabat: 71.5% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. FAR Rabat are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form in the 2025/26 Botola Pro, the 2026/27 Botola Pro and the 2026 Throne Cup. The card tally for FAR Rabat was four yellow cards. five changes were recorded for FAR Rabat. Ittihad Tanger picked up two yellow cards and one red card. The substitution total for Ittihad Tanger was five. FAR Rabat finished with a clean sheet.