Across 10 recorded meetings back to 2019 the split is 4-3-3 in CR Khemis Zemamra's favour on wins, 14-13 on goals. The last was 2026, 1-1 in Botola Pro. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1505 and 1591 — 86 points — for a 33.3% / 27.3% / 39.4% split.
FUS Rabat carries the largest share, 39.4%. Each side owns one half of the argument — CR Khemis Zemamra the scoring rate at 0.73, FUS Rabat the conceding rate at 0.70. Between best and worst outcome there is 12.1 points of daylight. Expected goals 0.76-1.02. FUS Rabat sits 6.1 points above the next most likely result. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +5 and +91. 0-1 tops the scoreline distribution on 17.2%. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. 72.7% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Elo expected shares: 47.0% and 53.0%. The match finished 0-1. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 86 points. With 155 and 306 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
Before the match
five goals for and ten against accompanied CR Khemis Zemamra's two draws and three defeats across five outings, a winless run. A 2-2 draw away to Renaissance Berkane (13 October) was their most recent result.
Renaissance Berkane hosted CR Khemis Zemamra (Botola Pro) on 13 October. For CR Khemis Zemamra, the score was 2-2: two goals scored, two allowed. 2-5 was CR Khemis Zemamra's result against Hassania Agadir on 8 October (Botola Pro), playing at home; CR Khemis Zemamra lost, with two scored to five conceded. The 3 October fixture (Botola Pro) paired CR Khemis Zemamra with Raja Casablanca. CR Khemis Zemamra lost 0-1 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Maghreb Fès (Botola Pro), CR Khemis Zemamra finished 1-2 on 27 September. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 5 July: CR Khemis Zemamra drew 0-0 against FAR Rabat away from home in Botola Pro, scoring zero goals and allowing zero.
FUS Rabat's previous five results comprised two draws and three defeats. Their goal totals were 2 scored and 5 conceded, failing to score in three of those games, with no wins. Latest: a 1-1 draw at home to Raja Casablanca on 13 October.
FUS Rabat hosted Raja Casablanca on 13 October (Botola Pro) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Moghreb Tetouan hosted FUS Rabat (Botola Pro) on 9 October. For FUS Rabat, the score was 0-0: zero goals scored, zero allowed. 0-1 was FUS Rabat's result against Amal Tiznit on 2 October (Botola Pro), playing at home; FUS Rabat lost, with zero scored to one conceded. The 26 September fixture (Botola Pro) paired FUS Rabat with UTS Rabat. FUS Rabat lost 1-2 away from home, netting one goal while conceding two. Playing at home against Yacoub El Mansour (Botola Pro), FUS Rabat finished 0-1 on 5 July. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition.
Previous meetings in our records: a 1-1 draw at CR Khemis Zemamra on 2 July and a 3-2 home win for FUS Rabat on 1 March.
After the match
FUS Rabat edged past CR Khemis Zemamra 1-0 at Stade Municipal Zemamra, El Jadida on 25 October 2026. Amine Souane opened the scoring 64 minutes into the game for FUS Rabat to make it 1-0. Mohamed Ferhane (66'), Ismail Moutaraji (77'), Amine Souane (77') and Abdelaziz hamzaoui el (85') were booked. FUS Rabat are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form. CR Khemis Zemamra picked up one yellow card. CR Khemis Zemamra: five substitutions. The card tally for FUS Rabat was three yellow cards. three changes were recorded for FUS Rabat. A clean sheet for FUS Rabat.