Across 8 recorded meetings back to 2022 the split is 1-3-4 from UTS Rabat's side on wins, 8-11 on goals. The last was 2026, 2-1 in Botola Pro. History aside, the live ratings of 1562 and 1591 drive a 41.8% / 26.7% / 31.5% distribution.
The higher-rated side expects 44.8% of the points; the other side 55.2%. Broken into parts the two profiles nearly overlap, 0.77 versus 0.80 in attack and 0.74 versus 0.77 at the back. It ended 0-1. Most likely single result is UTS Rabat on 41.8%. Spread across the three results is 15.1 points. The gap between first and second outcome is 10.3 points, UTS Rabat ahead of Wydad AC. Of the individual scorelines, 0-0 carries the most weight at 18.8% — 1-0 is next at 16.4%. A decisive result carries 73.3% against 26.7% for the draw. The away side is rated higher. Neither figure is thin: 128 and 365 matches respectively sit behind them. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. Point estimate: 0-0. In absolute terms: UTS Rabat 0.77/0.74, Wydad AC 0.80/0.77 on attack and defence. Expected goals sit at 0.88 against 0.80. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +62 and +91.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
UTS Rabat: three wins, one draw and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, two conceded, keeping three clean sheets. CODM Meknès were their latest opponents, away on 17 October: a 1-0 defeat; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to El Massira on 21 July.
Against CODM Meknès in Botola Pro, UTS Rabat scored zero and conceded one on 17 October; the away from home result was 0-1. UTS Rabat's at home game on 8 October (Botola Pro) ended 0-0 against Renaissance Berkane, with zero goals for and zero against. On 2 October, Widad Témara faced UTS Rabat in Botola Pro: UTS Rabat won 1-0 away from home, having scored one and conceded zero. Botola Pro, 26 September brought a home meeting with FUS Rabat; UTS Rabat won 2-1, a return of two goals scored and one conceded. UTS Rabat hosted El Massira on 21 July (Botola Pro) and won 3-0; their goals totalled three, compared with zero conceded.
Wydad AC: one win, two draws and two defeats over five games; five goals scored, six conceded. Amal Tiznit were their latest opponents, at home on 18 October: a 1-1 draw.
On 18 October, Amal Tiznit faced Wydad AC in Botola Pro: Wydad AC drew 1-1 at home, having scored one and conceded one. Botola Pro, 11 October brought a home meeting with CODM Meknès; Wydad AC drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. Wydad AC visited Difaa EL Jadida on 3 October (Botola Pro) and won 2-0; their goals totalled two, compared with zero conceded. Widad Témara travelled to face Wydad AC (Botola Pro) on 26 September. For Wydad AC, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed. 1-2 was Wydad AC's result against UTS Rabat on 5 July (Botola Pro), playing at home; Wydad AC lost, with one scored to two conceded.
Earlier results between these sides included a 2-1 away win for UTS Rabat on 5 July and a 4-3 away win for Wydad AC on 8 March.
After the match
Wydad AC edged past UTS Rabat 1-0 on 24 October 2026. Aymane El Hassouni opened the scoring from the penalty spot inside the first 9 minutes for Wydad AC to make it 1-0. Oussama Zemraoui (49'), Mohammed Moufid (49'), Aymane El Hassouni (50'), Issoufou Dayo (66') and Youssef Kajai (75') were booked. Wydad AC are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. UTS Rabat: one yellow card. UTS Rabat made four changes. four yellow cards went to Wydad AC. Wydad AC: four substitutions. Wydad AC conceded no goals.