1497 against 1580 gives the model nothing to work with: 33.7% / 27.4% / 38.9%.
The two ratings differ by 83 points. Kawkab Marrakech carries the largest share, 38.9%. Widad Témara: only 4 rated matches. Its rounded call is 0-1. By expected share of the points: 47.4% and 52.6%. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. Expected goals come out at 0.92 to 1.00. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 0-1 at 14.6%. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -3 and +80. 4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Attack and defence disagree about who is favoured: 0.89 to 0.79 says Widad Témara, 0.70 to 0.94 says Kawkab Marrakech. A 11.5-point range covers every outcome here. The away side is rated higher. It ended 0-1. In absolute terms: Widad Témara 0.89/0.94, Kawkab Marrakech 0.79/0.70 on attack and defence. Win-or-lose totals 72.6%; the draw takes the rest. The leading outcome clears the second by 5.2 points.
Figures are our own elo-poisson-v1 output, not a provider feed. Analysis, not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Widad Témara's previous three results comprised one win and two defeats. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 3 conceded. FAR Rabat were their latest opponents, away on 8 October: a 1-0 defeat.
Widad Témara visited FAR Rabat on 8 October (Botola Pro) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. UTS Rabat travelled to face Widad Témara (Botola Pro) on 2 October. For Widad Témara, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed. 3-1 was Widad Témara's result against Wydad AC on 26 September (Botola Pro), playing away from home; Widad Témara won, with three scored to one conceded.
Kawkab Marrakech came into the game with two wins, two draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring six goals and conceding five. A 2-1 win at home to Ittihad Tanger (10 October) was their most recent result.
The 10 October fixture (Botola Pro) paired Kawkab Marrakech with Ittihad Tanger. Kawkab Marrakech won 2-1 at home, netting two goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against CODM Meknès (Botola Pro), Kawkab Marrakech finished 1-0 on 3 October. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition. 27 September: Kawkab Marrakech lost 2-3 against Hassania Agadir at home in Botola Pro, scoring two goals and allowing three. Against Hassania Agadir in Botola Pro, Kawkab Marrakech scored one and conceded one on 5 July; the away from home result was 1-1. Kawkab Marrakech's at home game on 2 July (Botola Pro) ended 0-0 against Maghreb Fès, with zero goals for and zero against.
After the match
Kawkab Marrakech edged past Widad Témara 1-0 on 18 October 2026. Saleh essallami opened the scoring inside the first 5 minutes for Kawkab Marrakech, set up by Hamza Smaali, to make it 1-0. Nabil Khali (66'), Rabie Bounnit (76'), saleh essallami (76') and Oussama hafari (81') were booked. The card tally for Widad Témara was one yellow card. Widad Témara made five changes. The card tally for Kawkab Marrakech was three yellow cards. Kawkab Marrakech made five changes. A clean sheet for Kawkab Marrakech.