Prior record: 2-1-1 across 4 since 2024. Most recent 2026, 2-0 in Botola Pro. The live ratings are 1586 and 1507, giving 58.1% / 23.0% / 18.9%.
Wydad AC sits 35.1 points above the next most likely result. Rounded, that is 1-0. By expected share of the points: 69.6% and 30.4%. Played and finished 0-0. Attack/defence pairs: 0.83/0.92 and 0.67/1.00. The ratings draw on 359 and 60 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. There is no trade-off to weigh: Wydad AC scores at the higher rate (0.83 to 0.67) and concedes at the lower (0.92 to 1.00). Between them, the home side holds the higher rating. Most and least likely outcomes are 39.2 points apart. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +86 and +7. Expected goals come out at 1.23 to 0.83. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. Top of the distribution: Wydad AC, 58.1%. Someone wins 77.0% of the time by this model. Scorelines above 8%: 5. On the rating scale the distance between them is moderate, at 79 points. Most weight falls on 1-0 at 15.7%.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
five goals for and ten against accompanied Wydad AC's one win and four defeats across five outings. On 3 October, Wydad AC recorded a 2-0 win visiting Difaa EL Jadida.
Wydad AC's away from home game on 3 October (Botola Pro) ended 2-0 against Difaa EL Jadida, with two goals for and zero against. On 26 September, Widad Témara faced Wydad AC in Botola Pro: Wydad AC lost 1-3 at home, having scored one and conceded three. Botola Pro, 5 July brought a home meeting with UTS Rabat; Wydad AC lost 1-2, a return of one goal scored and two conceded. Wydad AC visited Renaissance Berkane on 2 July (Botola Pro) and lost 0-2; their goals totalled zero, compared with two conceded. Olympique Dcheïra travelled to face Wydad AC (Botola Pro) on 28 June. For Wydad AC, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed.
CODM Meknès came into the game with two wins, one draw and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring 12 goals and conceding nine. A 1-0 defeat at home to Kawkab Marrakech (3 October) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 6-2 away to Difaa EL Jadida on 26 September.
Botola Pro, 3 October brought a home meeting with Kawkab Marrakech; CODM Meknès lost 0-1, a return of zero goals scored and one conceded. CODM Meknès visited Difaa EL Jadida on 26 September (Botola Pro) and won 6-2; their goals totalled six, compared with two conceded. Ittihad Tanger hosted CODM Meknès (Botola Pro) on 5 July. For CODM Meknès, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed. 3-2 was CODM Meknès's result against FAR Rabat on 2 July (Botola Pro), playing at home; CODM Meknès won, with three scored to two conceded. The 28 June fixture (Botola Pro) paired CODM Meknès with Olympique Safi. CODM Meknès drew 2-2 away from home, netting two goals while conceding two.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 2-0 home win for Wydad AC on 6 May and a 3-1 away win for Wydad AC on 3 October 2025.
After the match
Wydad AC and CODM Meknès could not be separated in a goalless draw at Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca on 11 October 2026. A. El Hassouni (13'), T. Razko (18'), A. Berdad (32'), S. Moussaddaq (33'), A. Lourhraz (81') and J. Guede (83') were booked. The card tally for Wydad AC was two yellow cards. Wydad AC made four changes. CODM Meknès: four yellow cards. CODM Meknès made five changes. A clean sheet for Wydad AC. A clean sheet for CODM Meknès.