Across 11 recorded meetings back to 2021 the split is 5-3-3 in Al Salt's favour on wins, 11-9 on goals. The last was 2026, 2-3 in Jordanian Pro League. History aside, the live ratings of 1528 and 1612 drive a 33.7% / 27.4% / 38.9% distribution.
Higher rating: the away side. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 47.3% to 52.7%. As a single number the model says 0-1. The model's preferred outcome is Al Ramtha at 38.9%. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +28 and +112. 4 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Expected goals come out at 0.84 to 1.00. Al Ramtha has the better scoring rate (0.92) and Al Salt the better defensive one (0.80). On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 84 points. Win-or-lose totals 72.6%; the draw takes the rest. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. Played and finished 0-0. The three outcomes sit within 11.5 points of each other — an unusually flat distribution. Behind them are 121 and 121 rated matches. Most weight falls on 0-1 at 15.8%. Al Ramtha holds a 5.2-point edge on the next outcome.
Computed by elo-poisson-v1 from the whole corpus rather than republished. Analytical only.
Match Report
Before the match
three goals for and four against accompanied Al Salt's one win, two draws and two defeats across five outings, failing to score in four of those games. A 0-0 draw away to Al Buqa'a (16 October) was their most recent result.
16 October: Al Salt drew 0-0 against Al Buqa'a away from home in Jordanian Pro League, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against Al Faisaly in Jordanian Pro League, Al Salt scored zero and conceded one on 10 October; the at home result was 0-1. Al Salt's away from home game on 17 September (Jordanian Pro League) ended 0-2 against Doqarah, with zero goals for and two against. On 12 September, Al Wihdat faced Al Salt in Jordanian Pro League: Al Salt drew 0-0 at home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Jordanian Pro League, 5 September brought an away meeting with Al Arabi; Al Salt won 3-1, a return of three goals scored and one conceded.
Al Ramtha: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; four goals scored, five conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Latest: a 4-1 defeat away to Al Faisaly on 17 October.
Playing away from home against Al Faisaly (Jordanian Pro League), Al Ramtha finished 1-4 on 17 October. Their score comprised one goal, against four from the opposition. 10 October: Al Ramtha drew 0-0 against Doqarah at home in Jordanian Pro League, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against Al Wihdat in Jordanian Pro League, Al Ramtha scored one and conceded zero on 18 September; the away from home result was 1-0. Al Ramtha's at home game on 12 September (Jordanian Pro League) ended 1-0 against Al Arabi, with one goal for and zero against. On 4 September, Shabab Al Ordon faced Al Ramtha in Jordanian Pro League: Al Ramtha drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 3-2 away win for Al Ramtha on 17 March and a 1-0 away win for Al Salt on 3 March.
After the match
Al Salt and Al Ramtha could not be separated in a goalless draw on 23 October 2026. (49') was sent off. The card tally for Al Salt was one red card. Al Salt finished with a clean sheet. Al Ramtha kept their opponents scoreless.