Match

Al Hilal Omdurman enters 245 points clear of Sidama Bunna on rating, which the model reads as 77.0% / 17.2% / 5.8%.

Goal expectation splits 1.29 to 0.62. The model's preferred outcome is Al Hilal Omdurman at 77.0%. The match finished 2-0. A 71.2-point range top to bottom. Of the individual scorelines, 1-0 carries the most weight at 19.2% — 0-0 is next at 14.9%. Higher rating: the home side. The record shows a single previous meeting, 2026, 2-0 in CAF Champions League; not enough to lean on. Al Hilal Omdurman holds a 59.8-point edge on the next outcome. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. 82.8% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Neither component contradicts the other: Al Hilal Omdurman leads 0.91-0.90 forward and 0.51-0.95 back. Expected shares 85.6% against 14.4% on Elo. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +248 and +3. Raw profiles are 0.91 and 0.51 against 0.90 and 0.95. These figures stand as of today; the model updates them at full time. Sidama Bunna's side of that rests on 4 rated matches, so treat it as provisional. The single-scoreline output is 1-0. 245 points separate the two ratings — a wide margin.

elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.

Match Report

Before the match

six goals for and two against accompanied Al Hilal Omdurman's three wins, one draw and one defeat across five outings, keeping three clean sheets. A 2-0 win away to Sidama Bunna (18 October) was their most recent result.

Sidama Bunna hosted Al Hilal Omdurman (CAF Champions League) on 18 October. For Al Hilal Omdurman, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 1-0 was Al Hilal Omdurman's result against Aigle Noir on 12 September (CAF Champions League), playing at home; Al Hilal Omdurman won, with one scored to zero conceded. The 5 September fixture (CAF Champions League) paired Al Hilal Omdurman with Aigle Noir. Al Hilal Omdurman won 2-0 away from home, netting two goals while conceding zero. Playing at home against Renaissance Berkane (CAF Champions League), Al Hilal Omdurman finished 0-1 on 22 March. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 14 March: Al Hilal Omdurman drew 1-1 against Renaissance Berkane away from home in CAF Champions League, scoring one goal and allowing one.

Sidama Bunna's previous three results comprised one win, one draw and one defeat. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 2 conceded. Al Hilal Omdurman were their latest opponents, at home on 18 October: a 2-0 defeat; their biggest win in that spell was 3-0 at home to Aiglons on 13 September.

0-2 was Sidama Bunna's result against Al Hilal Omdurman on 18 October (CAF Champions League), playing at home; Sidama Bunna lost, with zero scored to two conceded. The 13 September fixture (CAF Champions League) paired Sidama Bunna with Aiglons. Sidama Bunna won 3-0 at home, netting three goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Aiglons (CAF Champions League), Sidama Bunna finished 0-0 on 5 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against zero from the opposition.

The last recorded meeting was a 2-0 away win for Al Hilal Omdurman on 18 October.

After the match

Al Hilal Omdurman beat Sidama Bunna 2-0 on 25 October 2026. Al Hilal Omdurman opened the scoring in the 34th minute for Al Hilal Omdurman to make it 1-0. Al Hilal Omdurman added to the tally 50 minutes into the game for Al Hilal Omdurman to make it 2-0. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have Al Hilal Omdurman 245 points stronger than Sidama Bunna. Al Hilal Omdurman: 77% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Al Hilal Omdurman's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins. Al Hilal Omdurman kept their opponents scoreless.