Match

Renaissance Berkane enters 281 points clear of Star Sport Academy on rating, which the model reads as 80.1% / 15.9% / 4.0%.

From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +263 and -18. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 20.4%, clear of 0-0 on 16.2%. Outcomes span 76.1 points. Its point estimate is 1-0. Renaissance Berkane holds a 64.2-point edge on the next outcome. The higher rating expects 88.0% of the points, the lower 12.0%. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. A 281-point spread sits between the two figures. Between them, the home side holds the higher rating. There is no trade-off to weigh: Renaissance Berkane scores at the higher rate (0.89 to 0.82) and concedes at the lower (0.51 to 0.95). The model's expected-goals figures are 1.26 and 0.56. The record shows a single previous meeting, 2026, 2-0 in CAF Champions League; not enough to lean on. Star Sport Academy's side of that rests on 4 rated matches, so treat it as provisional. The quoted ratings already absorb this match. Played and finished 1-0. A decisive result carries 84.1% against 15.9% for the draw.

Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.

Match Report

Before the match

seven goals for and three against accompanied Renaissance Berkane's two wins and three draws across five outings, keeping three clean sheets, an unbeaten run. On 17 October, Renaissance Berkane recorded a 2-0 win visiting Star Sport Academy.

The 17 October fixture (CAF Champions League) paired Renaissance Berkane with Star Sport Academy. Renaissance Berkane won 2-0 away from home, netting two goals while conceding zero. Playing at home against CR Khemis Zemamra (Botola Pro), Renaissance Berkane finished 2-2 on 13 October. Their score comprised two goals, against two from the opposition. 8 October: Renaissance Berkane drew 0-0 against UTS Rabat away from home in Botola Pro, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against Moghreb Tetouan in Botola Pro, Renaissance Berkane scored zero and conceded zero on 27 September; the away from home result was 0-0. Renaissance Berkane's away from home game on 5 July (Botola Pro) ended 3-1 against Difaa EL Jadida, with three goals for and one against.

Star Sport Academy: two draws and one defeat over three games; one goal scored, three conceded, without a win. Renaissance Berkane were their latest opponents, at home on 17 October: a 2-0 defeat.

Playing at home against Renaissance Berkane (CAF Champions League), Star Sport Academy finished 0-2 on 17 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition. 12 September: Star Sport Academy drew 1-1 against Medina United away from home in CAF Champions League, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against Medina United in CAF Champions League, Star Sport Academy scored zero and conceded zero on 5 September; the at home result was 0-0.

The last recorded meeting was a 2-0 away win for Renaissance Berkane on 17 October.

After the match

Renaissance Berkane edged past Star Sport Academy 1-0 on 24 October 2026. Renaissance Berkane opened the scoring 53 minutes into the game for Renaissance Berkane to make it 1-0. The rating gap is a wide one: our current Elo ratings have Renaissance Berkane 281 points stronger than Star Sport Academy. Renaissance Berkane: 80.1% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. Renaissance Berkane are unbeaten in the latest 8 matches of their recorded form in the 2025/26 Botola Pro, the 2026/27 Botola Pro and the 2026/27 CAF Champions League. Renaissance Berkane kept their opponents scoreless.