2 meetings sit in the record, first in 2019, aggregate 1-4. The latest was 2019, 0-1 in AFC Champions League. The present numbers are 1500 against 1599, and the model turns that into 31.6% / 26.8% / 41.6%.
The tie closed out 2-2. On the rating scale the distance between them is wide, at 99 points. Top of the distribution: Jeonbuk Motors, 41.6%. Between best and worst outcome there is 14.8 points of daylight. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run 0 and +99. Neither figure is thin: 23 and 85 matches respectively sit behind them. Expected shares 45.1% against 54.9% on Elo. Expected goals 1.22-1.79. Rounded, that is 1-1. Neither component contradicts the other: Jeonbuk Motors leads 0.99-0.92 forward and 0.89-1.34 back. 3 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Win-or-lose totals 73.2%; the draw takes the rest. In absolute terms: Beijing Guoan 0.92/1.34, Jeonbuk Motors 0.99/0.89 on attack and defence. A 10.0-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Spread thin across outcomes, 1-1 highest at 10.8%. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. What is quoted is today's rating, not the figure carried into kickoff.
elo-poisson-v1 output, computed in-house. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
Beijing Guoan: two wins and three defeats over five games; six goals scored, 11 conceded. Buriram United were their latest opponents, away on 13 October: a 1-0 win.
Against Buriram United in AFC Champions League, Beijing Guoan scored one and conceded zero on 13 October; the away from home result was 1-0. Beijing Guoan's at home game on 15 September (AFC Champions League) ended 3-1 against Pohang Steelers, with three goals for and one against. On 11 July 2021, Kawasaki Frontale faced Beijing Guoan in AFC Champions League: Beijing Guoan lost 0-4 away from home, having scored zero and conceded four. AFC Champions League, 8 July 2021 brought a home meeting with Ceres; Beijing Guoan lost 2-3, a return of two goals scored and three conceded. Beijing Guoan hosted Daegu FC on 5 July 2021 (AFC Champions League) and lost 0-3; their goals totalled zero, compared with three conceded.
Jeonbuk Motors: one win, two draws and two defeats over five games; seven goals scored, nine conceded. Latest: a 1-1 draw away to FC Anyang on 24 October.
Against FC Anyang in K League 1, Jeonbuk Motors scored one and conceded one on 24 October; the away from home result was 1-1. Jeonbuk Motors's at home game on 18 October (K League 1) ended 3-2 against Jeju United FC, with three goals for and two against. On 14 October, Vissel Kobe faced Jeonbuk Motors in AFC Champions League: Jeonbuk Motors lost 0-2 away from home, having scored zero and conceded two. K League 1, 9 October brought an away meeting with Daejeon Citizen; Jeonbuk Motors lost 1-2, a return of one goal scored and two conceded. Jeonbuk Motors hosted Gwangju FC on 20 September (K League 1) and drew 2-2; their goals totalled two, compared with two conceded.
Previous meetings in our records: a 1-0 away win for Jeonbuk Motors on 7 May 2019 and a 3-1 home win for Jeonbuk Motors on 6 March 2019.
After the match
Beijing Guoan and Jeonbuk Motors drew 2-2 at Beijing Workers' Stadium, Beijing on 27 October 2026. Bruno Mota opened the scoring inside the first 2 minutes for Jeonbuk Motors, set up by Choi Woo-jin, to make it 1-0. Jeremy Dudziak levelled it in the 34th minute for Beijing Guoan, set up by Uroš Spajić, to make it 1-1. Wang Gang put Beijing Guoan in front 52 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. With the 4th goal, Jeonbuk Motors drew level through Lee Yeong-jae 64 minutes into the game, set up by Kim Young-Bin, to make it 2-2. Kim Young-Bin (33'), Bruno Mota (56'), Boubacar Konte (68') and Kang Sang-yun (75') were booked. Jeonbuk Motors are unbeaten in the latest 4 matches of their recorded form in the 2026 K League 1 and the 2026/27 AFC Champions League. Beijing Guoan: one yellow card. Beijing Guoan made five changes. The card tally for Jeonbuk Motors was three yellow cards. Jeonbuk Motors made five changes. Across the goals, the lead switched one time.