The model has no meaningful preference: 1473 against 1561, split 33.1% / 27.2% / 39.7%.
From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at -27 and +61. Reduced to one result that is 1-1. The model's preferred outcome is Enppi at 39.7%. Spread thin across outcomes, 1-1 highest at 12.9%. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. The model's expected-goals figures are 1.21 and 1.25. Enppi leads the distribution by 6.6 points over Olympic El Qanah. The rating gap itself is 88 points, which is wide by the model's standards. Win-or-lose totals 72.8%; the draw takes the rest. Behind them are 28 and 454 rated matches. The distribution runs from 39.7% down to 27.2%. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. The higher rating expects 53.3% of the points, the lower 46.7%. The away side is rated higher. Attack/defence pairs: 0.76/1.06 and 0.87/1.08. The split is one apiece: Enppi leads the attacking rate on 0.87, Olympic El Qanah the defensive on 1.06. Result on the day: 1-3.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
Before the match
Olympic El Qanah: four draws and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, seven conceded, without a win. Al Ahly were their latest opponents, away on 21 October: a 3-3 draw.
3-3 was Olympic El Qanah's result against Al Ahly on 21 October (Egyptian Premier League), playing away from home; Olympic El Qanah drew, with three scored to three conceded. The 11 October fixture (Egyptian Premier League) paired Olympic El Qanah with AL Masry. Olympic El Qanah drew 1-1 at home, netting one goal while conceding one. Playing away from home against Masr (Egyptian Premier League), Olympic El Qanah finished 1-2 on 17 September. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition. 7 September: Olympic El Qanah drew 1-1 against El Geish at home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against Wadi Degla in Egyptian Premier League, Olympic El Qanah scored zero and conceded zero on 1 September; the away from home result was 0-0.
Enppi came into the game with one win, one draw and three defeats from their last five outings, scoring five goals and conceding nine. On 19 October, Enppi recorded a 3-0 defeat hosting El Mokawloon.
Egyptian Premier League, 19 October brought a home meeting with El Mokawloon; Enppi lost 0-3, a return of zero goals scored and three conceded. Enppi visited Future FC on 12 October (Egyptian Premier League) and lost 2-3; their goals totalled two, compared with three conceded. Pyramids FC travelled to face Enppi (Egyptian Premier League) on 17 September. For Enppi, the score was 1-2: one goal scored, two allowed. 2-1 was Enppi's result against Masr on 9 September (Egyptian Premier League), playing at home; Enppi won, with two scored to one conceded. The 1 September fixture (Egyptian Premier League) paired Enppi with Ghazl El Mehalla. Enppi drew 0-0 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding zero.
After the match
Enppi beat Olympic El Qanah 3-1 at Suez Canal Stadium, Ismailia on 30 October 2026. Emad Mayhoub opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 29th minute for Enppi to make it 1-0. Hossam Gahnem added to the tally in the 37th minute for Enppi, set up by Mohamed El Nahass, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Enppi extended the lead through Moahmed Sherif 50 minutes into the game to make it 3-0. Mohamed Hamdy Zaki got one back from the penalty spot in the 92nd minute for Olympic El Qanah to make it 1-3. Ahmed Khalil Kalousha (48'), Mohamed Hozian (62'), Moahmed Sherif (72'), Abdel Naser Mohamed (72'), Mohamed Hamdi Ibrahim (87') and Ahmed Nader Hawash (94') were booked. On our current Elo ratings the gap is a modest one: Enppi are 88 points stronger than Olympic El Qanah. Expected goals put the gap at 0.78 to 2.25. The card tally for Olympic El Qanah was two yellow cards. Olympic El Qanah made four changes. Enppi picked up four yellow cards. Enppi: five substitutions.