14 meetings sit in the record, first in 2016, aggregate 20-12. The latest was 2025, 0-0 in Egyptian Premier League. The present numbers are 1818 against 1572, and the model turns that into 77.2% / 17.1% / 5.7%.
Win-or-lose totals 82.9%; the draw takes the rest. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +318 and +72. Elo expected shares: 85.7% and 14.3%. The model keeps one current rating per side, so these include this match. Zamalek SC carries the largest share, 77.2%. Higher rating: the home side. Spread across the three results is 71.5 points. A 60.1-point margin separates the top two outcomes. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Most weight falls on 1-0 at 22.1%. Neither figure is thin: 499 and 278 matches respectively sit behind them. Zamalek SC is ahead on each half — 1.11 to 0.88 in attack, 0.41 to 0.74 in defence. A 246-point spread sits between the two figures. Attack/defence pairs: 1.11/0.41 and 0.88/0.74. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. Expected goals sit at 1.21 against 0.49. It ended 2-1.
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Match Report
Before the match
Zamalek SC's previous five results comprised four wins and one defeat. Their goal totals were 4 scored and 2 conceded, keeping four clean sheets. APR were their latest opponents, at home on 24 October: a 1-0 win.
1-0 was Zamalek SC's result against APR on 24 October (CAF Champions League), playing at home; Zamalek SC won, with one scored to zero conceded. The 20 October fixture (Egyptian Premier League) paired Zamalek SC with Asyut Petrol. Zamalek SC won 1-0 away from home, netting one goal while conceding zero. Playing away from home against APR (CAF Champions League), Zamalek SC finished 1-0 on 16 October. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition. 11 October: Zamalek SC lost 0-2 against Al Ahly at home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring zero goals and allowing two. Against Ghazl El Mehalla in Egyptian Premier League, Zamalek SC scored one and conceded zero on 16 September; the away from home result was 1-0.
El Mokawloon were unbeaten in their last five games, with three wins and two draws, scoring eight goals and conceding two, keeping three clean sheets. On 19 October, El Mokawloon recorded a 3-0 win visiting Enppi.
The 19 October fixture (Egyptian Premier League) paired El Mokawloon with Enppi. El Mokawloon won 3-0 away from home, netting three goals while conceding zero. Playing at home against Masr (Egyptian Premier League), El Mokawloon finished 1-1 on 12 October. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 15 September: El Mokawloon won 2-0 against Wadi Degla away from home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring two goals and allowing zero. Against Al Ahly in Egyptian Premier League, El Mokawloon scored one and conceded one on 9 September; the at home result was 1-1. El Mokawloon's away from home game on 2 September (Egyptian Premier League) ended 1-0 against El Gouna FC, with one goal for and zero against.
Previous meetings in our records: a 0-0 draw at Zamalek SC on 16 August 2025 and a 2-1 home win for El Mokawloon on 29 July 2024.
After the match
Zamalek SC edged past El Mokawloon 2-1 at Cairo International Stadium, Cairo on 28 October 2026. Mohamed Ahmad Hamad Shehata opened the scoring 46 minutes into the game for Zamalek SC, set up by Oday Dabbagh, to make it 1-0. Omar Gaber (an own goal) levelled it 57 minutes into the game for El Mokawloon to make it 1-1. Zamalek SC regained the lead through Chico Banza late on, in the 88th minute, set up by Mohamed Ahmad Hamad Shehata, to make it 2-1. Mohamed Shehata (2'), Mohamed Abdelnasser (61'), Hossam Ashraf (69'), Chico Banza (77') and Ahmed Sherif (81') were booked. Every goal came after the interval. Zamalek SC's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 77.2% for a win in this pairing. Zamalek SC's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Egyptian Premier League and the 2026/27 CAF Champions League. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.03 to 1.29. four yellow cards went to Zamalek SC. Zamalek SC: five substitutions. The card tally for El Mokawloon was one yellow card. El Mokawloon made four changes.