6 meetings sit in the record, first in 2024, aggregate 10-5. The latest was 2026, 3-1 in Egyptian Premier League. History aside, the live ratings of 1601 and 1544 drive a 55.0% / 23.7% / 21.3% distribution.
Top of the distribution: Masr, 55.0%. The model gives 76.3% to someone winning. By expected share of the points: 66.9% and 33.1%. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 15.1%, clear of 1-1 on 13.3%. On the rating scale the distance between them is moderate, at 57 points. Versus the 1500 seed: +101 and +44. The single-scoreline output is 1-0. A 33.7-point range top to bottom. Masr holds a 31.3-point edge on the next outcome. The four component numbers read 0.94, 0.80, 0.81, 0.83. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Masr is ahead on each half — 0.94 to 0.81 in attack, 0.80 to 0.83 in defence. The higher rating belongs to the home side. The ratings draw on 133 and 167 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. Expected goals come out at 1.16 to 0.88. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. The match finished 3-2.
Source: our elo-poisson-v1 model, run across the complete result record. Not betting guidance.
Match Report
Before the match
Masr: two wins, one draw and two defeats over five games; five goals scored, six conceded. Latest: a 1-1 draw away to El Mokawloon on 12 October.
Playing away from home against El Mokawloon (Egyptian Premier League), Masr finished 1-1 on 12 October. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 17 September: Masr won 2-1 against Olympic El Qanah at home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring two goals and allowing one. Against Enppi in Egyptian Premier League, Masr scored one and conceded two on 9 September; the away from home result was 1-2. Masr's away from home game on 1 September (Egyptian Premier League) ended 1-0 against El Geish, with one goal for and zero against. On 28 August, Al Ahly faced Masr in Egyptian Premier League: Masr lost 0-2 at home, having scored zero and conceded two.
Future FC came into the game with four wins and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring nine goals and conceding five. A 3-2 win at home to Enppi (12 October) was their most recent result.
Enppi travelled to face Future FC (Egyptian Premier League) on 12 October. For Future FC, the score was 3-2: three goals scored, two allowed. 2-0 was Future FC's result against Asyut Petrol on 15 September (Egyptian Premier League), playing away from home; Future FC won, with two scored to zero conceded. The 9 September fixture (Egyptian Premier League) paired Future FC with Wadi Degla. Future FC won 2-1 at home, netting two goals while conceding one. Playing away from home against Ceramica Cleopatra (Egyptian Premier League), Future FC finished 0-2 on 2 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition. 27 August: Future FC won 2-0 against Ghazl El Mehalla at home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring two goals and allowing zero.
The last two recorded meetings were a 3-1 away win for Masr on 19 April and a 2-0 home win for Masr on 11 March.
After the match
Masr edged past Future FC 3-2 on 20 October 2026. Mahmoud Mamdouh opened the scoring inside the first 13 minutes for Future FC, set up by Ali Fawzi, to make it 1-0. Rafaat Khalil levelled it in the 35th minute for Masr, set up by Sameh Ibrahim, to make it 1-1. Ahmed Elkalamawy put Masr in front in the 40th minute to make it 2-1. With the 4th goal, Future FC drew level through Mahmoud Mamdouh late on, in the 85th minute, set up by Ali Fawzi, to make it 2-2. With the 5th goal, Masr restored the lead through Ahmed Atef in the 95th minute, set up by Ahmed Elkalamawy, to make it 3-2. Abdallah Bakri (66') and Moussa Mohamed Abdelsadek (91') were booked. 2 gols came after the 80th minute. Masr: 55% to win this pairing in the model on current ratings; the match ended in their favour. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 0.74 to 1.04. Masr: two yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Masr. Future FC: five substitutions. The scoring record shows one lead change. After trailing, Masr secured the win.