Prior record: 5-7-3 across 15 since 2016. Most recent 2025, 1-1 in Egyptian Premier League. The live ratings are 1540 and 1575, giving 40.8% / 27.0% / 32.3%.
On the Elo curve, expected shares run 54.3% to 45.7%. A 8.5-point margin separates the top two outcomes. Most likely single result is Enppi on 40.8%. Neither component contradicts the other: El Mokawloon leads 0.89-0.79 forward and 0.69-1.10 back. The distribution peaks at 0-1, 15.7%, with 1-1 behind it at 12.7%. Versus the 1500 seed: +40 and +75. Its point estimate is 0-1. 73.1% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. The match finished 0-3. A 13.8-point range top to bottom. A 35-point difference on the rating scale. xG: 0.81 to 1.32. Attack/defence pairs: 0.79/1.10 and 0.89/0.69. Behind them are 453 and 277 rated matches. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Between them, the away side holds the higher rating. Scorelines above 8%: 5.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
Enppi's previous five results comprised one win, one draw and three defeats. Their goal totals were 6 scored and 9 conceded. Future FC were their latest opponents, away on 12 October: a 3-2 defeat.
Against Future FC in Egyptian Premier League, Enppi scored two and conceded three on 12 October; the away from home result was 2-3. Enppi's at home game on 17 September (Egyptian Premier League) ended 1-2 against Pyramids FC, with one goal for and two against. On 9 September, Masr faced Enppi in Egyptian Premier League: Enppi won 2-1 at home, having scored two and conceded one. Egyptian Premier League, 1 September brought an away meeting with Ghazl El Mehalla; Enppi drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. Enppi hosted Wadi Degla on 28 August (Egyptian Premier League) and lost 1-3; their goals totalled one, compared with three conceded.
seven goals for and five against accompanied El Mokawloon's two wins, two draws and one defeat across five outings. A 1-1 draw at home to Masr (12 October) was their most recent result.
12 October: El Mokawloon drew 1-1 against Masr at home in Egyptian Premier League, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against Wadi Degla in Egyptian Premier League, El Mokawloon scored two and conceded zero on 15 September; the away from home result was 2-0. El Mokawloon's at home game on 9 September (Egyptian Premier League) ended 1-1 against Al Ahly, with one goal for and one against. On 2 September, El Gouna FC faced El Mokawloon in Egyptian Premier League: El Mokawloon won 1-0 away from home, having scored one and conceded zero. Egyptian Premier League, 27 August brought a home meeting with AL Masry; El Mokawloon lost 2-3, a return of two goals scored and three conceded.
Earlier results between these sides included a 1-1 draw at El Mokawloon on 17 October 2025 and a 2-2 draw at Enppi on 2 July 2024.
After the match
El Mokawloon comfortably beat Enppi 3-0 at Petrosport Stadium, Cairo on 19 October 2026. Idrissa Thiam opened the scoring inside the first 11 minutes for El Mokawloon, set up by hassan hussein, to make it 1-0. Idrissa Thiam added to the tally 56 minutes into the game for El Mokawloon to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, El Mokawloon extended the lead through Shady Hussein late on, in the 82nd minute, set up by Sherif Reda, to make it 3-0. Mohamed Ammar (59') was booked. El Mokawloon are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.44 to 0.85. Enppi made five changes. El Mokawloon: one yellow card. five changes were recorded for El Mokawloon. A clean sheet for El Mokawloon.