JS Kabylie rates 1727 to JS El Biar's 1535 — 192 points. Split: 71.9% / 19.0% / 9.1%.
Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-0 at 13.5%. The higher rating belongs to the home side. JS Kabylie carries the largest share, 71.9%. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +227 and +35. Result on the day: 1-0. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 81.4% to 18.6%. Its rounded call is 1-0. Both components point the same way, toward JS Kabylie: 1.09 to 1.04 going forward, 0.61 to 1.03 going back. A decisive result carries 81.0% against 19.0% for the draw. 192 points separate the two ratings — a wide margin. Raw profiles are 1.09 and 0.61 against 1.04 and 1.03. The three results cover 62.8 points. Ratings quoted are live and already include this result. On expected goals the model has it 1.66 against 0.85. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 493 and 8 rated matches respectively. The gap between first and second outcome is 52.9 points, JS Kabylie ahead of the draw.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
JS Kabylie: three wins, one draw and one defeat over five games; nine goals scored, three conceded. Khenchela were their latest opponents, away on 24 October: a 3-0 win.
Against Khenchela in Algeria Ligue 1, JS Kabylie scored three and conceded zero on 24 October; the away from home result was 3-0. JS Kabylie's at home game on 18 October (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 4-1 against US Biskra, with four goals for and one against. On 14 October, ES Setif faced JS Kabylie in Algeria Ligue 1: JS Kabylie drew 1-1 away from home, having scored one and conceded one. Algeria Ligue 1, 9 October brought a home meeting with ASO Chlef; JS Kabylie won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. JS Kabylie visited Témouchent on 17 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded.
JS El Biar: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; 12 goals scored, seven conceded. MC Oran were their latest opponents, at home on 23 October: a 0-0 draw; their biggest win in that spell was 4-0 at home to JS Saoura on 18 September.
0-0 was JS El Biar's result against MC Oran on 23 October (Algeria Ligue 1), playing at home; JS El Biar drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 17 October fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired JS El Biar with CS Constantine. JS El Biar won 4-2 away from home, netting four goals while conceding two. Playing at home against CR Belouizdad (Algeria Ligue 1), JS El Biar finished 2-3 on 12 October. Their score comprised two goals, against three from the opposition. 7 October: JS El Biar drew 2-2 against Ben Aknoun away from home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring two goals and allowing two. Against JS Saoura in Algeria Ligue 1, JS El Biar scored four and conceded zero on 18 September; the at home result was 4-0.
After the match
JS Kabylie edged past JS El Biar 1-0 on 30 October 2026. B. Messaoudi opened the scoring from the penalty spot 59 minutes into the game for JS Kabylie to make it 1-0. A. Kante (50'), (90') and (93') were booked. JS Kabylie won; current ratings also favour them in this pairing, with a model probability of 71.9%. JS Kabylie are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. JS Kabylie: four substitutions. three yellow cards went to JS El Biar. JS El Biar: four substitutions. JS Kabylie kept their opponents scoreless.