Prior record: 7-5-9 across 21 since 2011. Most recent 2026, 1-0 in Algeria Ligue 1. Currently 1534 against 1627 — a 32.4% / 27.0% / 40.6% split.
The leading outcome clears the second by 8.2 points. In absolute terms: ASO Chlef 0.63/0.95, ES Setif 0.90/0.80 on attack and defence. Note the ratings are live, not frozen at kickoff. xG: 0.75 to 1.14. By expected share of the points: 46.0% and 54.0%. Result on the day: 1-2. Rating separation comes to 93 points. Reduced to one result that is 0-1. The higher rating belongs to the away side. Outcomes span 13.6 points. Every team starts at 1500; these two now sit at +34 and +127. Of the individual scorelines, 0-1 carries the most weight at 17.2% — 0-0 is next at 15.0%. Someone wins 73.0% of the time by this model. With 341 and 475 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Most likely single result is ES Setif on 40.6%. Both components point the same way, toward ES Setif: 0.90 to 0.63 going forward, 0.80 to 0.95 going back.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
ASO Chlef's previous five results comprised three draws and two defeats. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 5 conceded, with no wins. Latest: a 1-1 draw at home to MB Rouisset on 24 October.
1-1 was ASO Chlef's result against MB Rouisset on 24 October (Algeria Ligue 1), playing at home; ASO Chlef drew, with one scored to one conceded. The 18 October fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired ASO Chlef with Témouchent. ASO Chlef drew 1-1 away from home, netting one goal while conceding one. Playing at home against MC Alger (Algeria Ligue 1), ASO Chlef finished 1-1 on 13 October. Their score comprised one goal, against one from the opposition. 9 October: ASO Chlef lost 0-1 against JS Kabylie away from home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring zero goals and allowing one. Against MC Oran in Algeria Ligue 1, ASO Chlef scored zero and conceded one on 18 September; the at home result was 0-1.
ES Setif came into the game with one win, two draws and two defeats from their last five outings, scoring seven goals and conceding five. A 2-1 defeat at home to Témouchent (24 October) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 5-1 at home to CS Constantine on 19 September.
ES Setif's at home game on 24 October (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 1-2 against Témouchent, with one goal for and two against. On 14 October, JS Kabylie faced ES Setif in Algeria Ligue 1: ES Setif drew 1-1 at home, having scored one and conceded one. Algeria Ligue 1, 8 October brought an away meeting with MC Oran; ES Setif drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. ES Setif hosted CS Constantine on 19 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and won 5-1; their goals totalled five, compared with one conceded. CR Belouizdad hosted ES Setif (Algeria Ligue 1) on 11 September. For ES Setif, the score was 0-1: zero goals scored, one allowed.
Earlier results between these sides included a 1-0 home win for ASO Chlef on 6 March and a 1-1 draw at ES Setif on 4 October 2025.
After the match
ES Setif edged past ASO Chlef 2-1 on 30 October 2026. R. Benayad opened the scoring inside the first 3 minutes for ES Setif to make it 1-0. Z. Motrani levelled it in the 45th minute for ASO Chlef, set up by O. Benattia, to make it 1-1. ES Setif regained the lead through I. Bouchagoura 73 minutes into the game to make it 2-1. M. Abboub (56') was sent off. M. Abboub (36'), C. Bekkouche (43'), C. Lakehal (52'), M. Abboub (56'), A. J. Yousef (59') and I. Bouchagoura (74') were booked. ASO Chlef picked up three yellow cards and one red card. three yellow cards went to ES Setif.