Across 8 recorded meetings back to 2022 the split is 2-3-3 from Khenchela's side on wins, 4-5 on goals. The last was 2026, 2-1 in Algeria Ligue 1. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1587 and 1727 — 140 points — for a 26.6% / 25.4% / 48.0% split.
Most weight falls on 0-1 at 18.0%. JS Kabylie is ahead on each half — 1.09 to 0.72 in attack, 0.61 to 0.95 in defence. A 21.4-point margin separates the top two outcomes. The away side is rated higher. 5 scorelines clear 8% individually. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. As a single number the model says 0-1. Both figures rest on decent samples, 127 and 493 matches. Win-or-lose totals 74.6%; the draw takes the rest. The rating gap itself is 140 points, which is wide by the model's standards. Outcomes span 22.6 points. The tie closed out 0-3. Attack/defence pairs: 0.72/0.95 and 1.09/0.61. Most likely single result is JS Kabylie on 48.0%. Versus the 1500 seed: +87 and +227. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 39.4% to 60.6%. The xG line reads 0.65 to 1.39.
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
Khenchela: one win, two draws and two defeats over five games; three goals scored, three conceded, failing to score in three of those games. MC Oran were their latest opponents, away on 17 October: a 1-0 defeat.
On 17 October, MC Oran faced Khenchela in Algeria Ligue 1: Khenchela lost 0-1 away from home, having scored zero and conceded one. Algeria Ligue 1, 12 October brought a home meeting with CS Constantine; Khenchela won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. Khenchela visited CR Belouizdad on 7 October (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. Ben Aknoun travelled to face Khenchela (Algeria Ligue 1) on 18 September. For Khenchela, the score was 1-1: one goal scored, one allowed. 0-0 was Khenchela's result against USM Alger on 4 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing at home; Khenchela drew, with zero scored to zero conceded.
seven goals for and three against accompanied JS Kabylie's three wins, one draw and one defeat across five outings. On 18 October, JS Kabylie recorded a 4-1 win hosting US Biskra.
Algeria Ligue 1, 18 October brought a home meeting with US Biskra; JS Kabylie won 4-1, a return of four goals scored and one conceded. JS Kabylie visited ES Setif on 14 October (Algeria Ligue 1) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. ASO Chlef travelled to face JS Kabylie (Algeria Ligue 1) on 9 October. For JS Kabylie, the score was 1-0: one goal scored, zero allowed. 0-1 was JS Kabylie's result against Témouchent on 17 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; JS Kabylie lost, with zero scored to one conceded. The 4 September fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired JS Kabylie with MB Rouisset. JS Kabylie won 1-0 at home, netting one goal while conceding zero.
Earlier results between these sides included a 2-1 home win for Khenchela on 13 March and a 1-0 home win for JS Kabylie on 21 October 2025.
After the match
JS Kabylie comfortably beat Khenchela 3-0 on 24 October 2026. B. Messaoudi opened the scoring 49 minutes into the game for JS Kabylie to make it 1-0. L. Akhrib added to the tally 55 minutes into the game for JS Kabylie to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, JS Kabylie extended the lead through B. Messaoudi 65 minutes into the game to make it 3-0. N. Benzid (21') was sent off. 7 players were booked, among them A. Guendouz (18'), A. Camara (28'), C. Boulkaboul (28'), B. Bouamama (39'), O. Litim (56') and L. Akhrib (64'). Every goal came after the interval. JS Kabylie are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. three yellow cards and one red card went to Khenchela. The substitution total for Khenchela was four. The card tally for JS Kabylie was four yellow cards. JS Kabylie made four changes. JS Kabylie finished with a clean sheet.