Prior record: 2-0-0 across 2 since 2025. Most recent 2026, 1-0 in Algeria Ligue 1. Set beside that history, the ratings stand at 1601 and 1628 — 27 points — for a 42.2% / 26.7% / 31.2% split.
It ended 1-0. Win-or-lose totals 73.4%; the draw takes the rest. MB Rouisset leads the distribution by 11.0 points over JS Saoura. 42.2% goes to MB Rouisset, the model's lean. Sample sizes behind the two numbers are 36 and 281 matches. Goal expectation splits 0.79 to 0.73. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 55.4% to 44.6%. The three results cover 15.5 points. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +101 and +128. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. 0-0 tops the scoreline distribution on 21.9%. Attack/defence pairs: 0.77/0.73 and 0.74/0.69. Ratings here are the model's current values, updated after full time. Rounded, that is 0-0. The higher rating belongs to the away side. A 27-point difference on the rating scale. The component ratings barely separate them — 0.77 and 0.74 for scoring, 0.73 and 0.69 for conceding — so the model is not leaning on a stylistic mismatch here.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
MB Rouisset: three wins and two defeats over five games; five goals scored, three conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Témouchent were their latest opponents, away on 14 October: a 2-0 win.
On 14 October, Témouchent faced MB Rouisset in Algeria Ligue 1: MB Rouisset won 2-0 away from home, having scored two and conceded zero. Algeria Ligue 1, 8 October brought a home meeting with USM Alger; MB Rouisset won 1-0, a return of one goal scored and zero conceded. MB Rouisset visited MC Alger on 18 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-2; their goals totalled zero, compared with two conceded. Olympique Akbou travelled to face MB Rouisset (Algeria Ligue 1) on 12 September. For MB Rouisset, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 0-1 was MB Rouisset's result against JS Kabylie on 4 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; MB Rouisset lost, with zero scored to one conceded.
JS Saoura's previous five results comprised two draws and three defeats. Their goal totals were 1 scored and 8 conceded, failing to score in four of those games, with no wins. Latest: a 1-0 defeat away to USM Alger on 13 October.
JS Saoura visited USM Alger on 13 October (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. Olympique Akbou travelled to face JS Saoura (Algeria Ligue 1) on 8 October. For JS Saoura, the score was 0-0: zero goals scored, zero allowed. 0-0 was JS Saoura's result against US Biskra on 22 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; JS Saoura drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 18 September fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired JS Saoura with JS El Biar. JS Saoura lost 0-4 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding four. Playing away from home against Horoya (CAF Champions League), JS Saoura finished 1-3 on 13 September. Their score comprised one goal, against three from the opposition.
The last two recorded meetings were a 1-0 home win for MB Rouisset on 24 January and a 2-1 away win for MB Rouisset on 21 August 2025.
After the match
MB Rouisset edged past JS Saoura 1-0 on 18 October 2026. M. Midoune opened the scoring inside the first 7 minutes for MB Rouisset to make it 1-0. A. Benmiloud (30') was sent off. K. Allaoui (47'), M. Tlili (51'), D. Benyahia (77') and (90') were booked. MB Rouisset: one yellow card. MB Rouisset made five changes. three yellow cards and one red card went to JS Saoura. The substitution total for JS Saoura was four. A clean sheet for MB Rouisset.