The head-to-head counts 18 recorded meetings since 2016: 5 to USM Alger, 10 to JS Saoura, 3 drawn, 23-24 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 1-2 in Algeria Ligue 1. Currently 1640 against 1640 — a 46.4% / 25.7% / 27.9% split.
Of the individual scorelines, 0-0 carries the most weight at 19.2% — 1-0 is next at 16.8%. The gap between first and second outcome is 18.5 points, USM Alger ahead of JS Saoura. The two ratings are identical to the point. 4 scorelines clear 8% individually. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. Expected goals sit at 0.88 against 0.78. The ratings are level, so neither side leads. With 469 and 280 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. Result on the day: 1-0. Each side owns one half of the argument — USM Alger the scoring rate at 0.87, JS Saoura the conceding rate at 0.68. The model's preferred outcome is USM Alger at 46.4%. In absolute terms: USM Alger 0.87/0.73, JS Saoura 0.78/0.68 on attack and defence. A 20.7-point range top to bottom. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 0-0.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
Before the match
USM Alger's previous five results comprised two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 7 scored and 5 conceded. Latest: a 1-0 defeat away to MB Rouisset on 8 October.
Playing away from home against MB Rouisset (Algeria Ligue 1), USM Alger finished 0-1 on 8 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 19 September: USM Alger won 3-2 against Olympique Akbou away from home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring three goals and allowing two. Against JS El Biar in Algeria Ligue 1, USM Alger scored two and conceded zero on 10 September; the at home result was 2-0. USM Alger's away from home game on 4 September (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 0-0 against Khenchela, with zero goals for and zero against. On 6 June, MC Oran faced USM Alger in Algeria Ligue 1: USM Alger drew 2-2 away from home, having scored two and conceded two.
JS Saoura's previous five results comprised one win, two draws and two defeats. Their goal totals were 2 scored and 7 conceded, keeping three clean sheets. Latest: a 0-0 draw at home to Olympique Akbou on 8 October.
On 8 October, Olympique Akbou faced JS Saoura in Algeria Ligue 1: JS Saoura drew 0-0 at home, having scored zero and conceded zero. Algeria Ligue 1, 22 September brought an away meeting with US Biskra; JS Saoura drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. JS Saoura visited JS El Biar on 18 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-4; their goals totalled zero, compared with four conceded. Horoya hosted JS Saoura (CAF Champions League) on 13 September. For JS Saoura, the score was 1-3: one goal scored, three allowed. 1-0 was JS Saoura's result against Horoya on 4 September (CAF Champions League), playing at home; JS Saoura won, with one scored to zero conceded.
The last two recorded meetings were a 2-1 away win for JS Saoura on 21 February and a 1-0 home win for JS Saoura on 20 September 2025.
After the match
USM Alger edged past JS Saoura 1-0 on 13 October 2026. M. Bouderbala opened the scoring in the 31st minute for USM Alger, set up by H. Loucif, to make it 1-0. A. Tra Bi Tra (60'), M. A. Gherbi (73'), I. Azzi (78') and C. Wayou (93') were booked. USM Alger picked up two yellow cards. USM Alger: five substitutions. two yellow cards went to JS Saoura. The substitution total for JS Saoura was five. USM Alger kept their opponents scoreless.