On file: 8 previous meetings dating to 2022, 7-12 on goals. Last time: 2026, 2-2 in Algeria Ligue 1. The present numbers are 1626 against 1621, and the model turns that into 47.2% / 25.6% / 27.3%.
Versus the 1500 seed: +126 and +121. Both ratings rest on a reasonable base — 124 and 461 rated matches respectively. Khenchela carries the largest share, 47.2%. Its point estimate is 1-1. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-1 at 13.1%. xG: 1.25 to 1.13. Expected shares on the Elo curve: 59.9% and 40.1%. Final score: 2-0. One half each — CS Constantine in front on 1.00, Khenchela behind on 0.84. 74.5% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. First to second is a 19.9-point step, Khenchela over CS Constantine. 5 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Raw profiles are 0.87 and 0.84 against 1.00 and 0.96. The higher rating belongs to the home side. The three results cover 21.6 points. Rating separation comes to 5 points. The quoted ratings already absorb this match.
Our own elo-poisson-v1 figures — analytical, not advisory.
Match Report
Before the match
Khenchela's previous five results comprised two wins, two draws and one defeat. Their goal totals were 4 scored and 3 conceded. Latest: a 1-0 defeat away to CR Belouizdad on 7 October.
Playing away from home against CR Belouizdad (Algeria Ligue 1), Khenchela finished 0-1 on 7 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 18 September: Khenchela drew 1-1 against Ben Aknoun at home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring one goal and allowing one. Against USM Alger in Algeria Ligue 1, Khenchela scored zero and conceded zero on 4 September; the at home result was 0-0. Khenchela's at home game on 5 June (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 1-0 against MB Rouisset, with one goal for and zero against. On 25 May, USM Alger faced Khenchela in Algeria Ligue 1: Khenchela won 2-1 at home, having scored two and conceded one.
CS Constantine's previous five results comprised two wins, one draw and two defeats. Their goal totals were 10 scored and 9 conceded. Latest: a 4-0 win at home to US Biskra on 7 October.
Against US Biskra in Algeria Ligue 1, CS Constantine scored four and conceded zero on 7 October; the at home result was 4-0. CS Constantine's away from home game on 19 September (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 1-5 against ES Setif, with one goal for and five against. On 12 September, ASO Chlef faced CS Constantine in Algeria Ligue 1: CS Constantine won 3-0 at home, having scored three and conceded zero. Algeria Ligue 1, 5 September brought an away meeting with Témouchent; CS Constantine drew 1-1, a return of one goal scored and one conceded. CS Constantine visited JS Saoura on 5 June (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 1-3; their goals totalled one, compared with three conceded.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-2 draw at CS Constantine on 19 May and a 0-0 draw at Khenchela on 26 December 2025.
After the match
Khenchela beat CS Constantine 2-0 on 12 October 2026. A. Mathew Fall opened the scoring in the 44th minute for Khenchela to make it 1-0. N. Benzid added to the tally 57 minutes into the game for Khenchela to make it 2-0. H. Chekal Affari (53') and A. Camara (59') were booked. Khenchela picked up one yellow card. Khenchela: two substitutions. The card tally for CS Constantine was one yellow card. CS Constantine made three changes. Khenchela conceded no goals.