On file: 13 previous meetings dating to 2017, 10-22 on goals. Last time: 2025, 0-2 in Algeria Ligue 1. Today those sides rate 1445 and 1678, 233 apart, which resolves to 16.5% / 22.1% / 61.4%.
MC Oran is ahead on each half — 0.87 to 0.28 in attack, 0.66 to 0.95 in defence. The four component numbers read 0.28, 0.95, 0.87, 0.66. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run -55 and +178. 61.4% goes to MC Oran, the model's lean. MC Oran holds a 39.3-point edge on the next outcome. The ratings draw on 219 and 458 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled. The distribution peaks at 0-1, 27.8%, with 0-0 behind it at 24.9%. Goal expectation splits 0.28 to 1.12. The away side is rated higher. 77.9% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. A 44.9-point range top to bottom. Final score: 0-1. Scorelines above 8%: 3. A 233-point difference on the rating scale. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. By expected share of the points: 27.5% and 72.5%. Taken to a single scoreline the model lands on 0-1.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
US Biskra's previous five results comprised two draws and three defeats. Their goal totals were 2 scored and 8 conceded, failing to score in four of those games, with no wins. Latest: a 4-0 defeat away to CS Constantine on 7 October.
0-4 was US Biskra's result against CS Constantine on 7 October (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; US Biskra lost, with zero scored to four conceded. The 22 September fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired US Biskra with JS Saoura. US Biskra drew 0-0 at home, netting zero goals while conceding zero. Playing at home against CR Belouizdad (Algeria Ligue 1), US Biskra finished 0-1 on 17 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 10 September: US Biskra drew 2-2 against Ben Aknoun away from home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring two goals and allowing two. Against ES Setif in Algeria Ligue 1, US Biskra scored zero and conceded one on 20 June 2025; the away from home result was 0-1.
MC Oran: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; six goals scored, five conceded, keeping three clean sheets. ES Setif were their latest opponents, at home on 8 October: a 0-0 draw.
0-0 was MC Oran's result against ES Setif on 8 October (Algeria Ligue 1), playing at home; MC Oran drew, with zero scored to zero conceded. The 18 September fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired MC Oran with ASO Chlef. MC Oran won 1-0 away from home, netting one goal while conceding zero. Playing at home against Témouchent (Algeria Ligue 1), MC Oran finished 2-0 on 11 September. Their score comprised two goals, against zero from the opposition. 6 June: MC Oran drew 2-2 against USM Alger at home in Algeria Ligue 1, scoring two goals and allowing two. Against CR Belouizdad in Algeria Ligue 1, MC Oran scored one and conceded three on 20 May; the away from home result was 1-3.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 2-0 away win for MC Oran on 26 May 2025 and a 1-0 home win for MC Oran on 8 December 2024.
After the match
MC Oran edged past US Biskra 1-0 on 13 October 2026. M. Abdelkader opened the scoring 76 minutes into the game for MC Oran to make it 1-0. A. Benamara (33'), M. Zeghba (36'), O. Embarek (55'), M. Barka (56'), M. Abdelkader (76') and (83') were booked. The rating gap is a clear one: our current Elo ratings have MC Oran 233 points stronger than US Biskra. MC Oran won; current ratings also favour them in this pairing, with a model probability of 61.4%. MC Oran are unbeaten in the latest 5 matches of their recorded form. three yellow cards went to US Biskra. The substitution total for US Biskra was five. three yellow cards went to MC Oran. The substitution total for MC Oran was five. MC Oran conceded no goals.