On record: 2 meetings from 2025, 1-2 on aggregate, 0 drawn. Their most recent was 2026, 1-0 in Algeria Ligue 1. The live ratings are 1547 and 1616, giving 35.5% / 27.9% / 36.6%.
The leading two outcomes sit 1.1 points apart, which is not a real preference. The higher rating expects 50.6% of the points, the lower 49.4%. Someone wins 72.1% of the time by this model. In absolute terms: MB Rouisset 0.78/0.91, USM Alger 0.86/0.83 on attack and defence. Distance between the ratings: 69 points, moderate on this scale. xG: 0.97 to 1.05. With 30 and 464 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. USM Alger carries the largest share, 36.6%. Its point estimate is 0-1. Higher rating: the away side. There is no trade-off to weigh: USM Alger scores at the higher rate (0.86 to 0.78) and concedes at the lower (0.83 to 0.91). Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +47 and +116. Result on the day: 1-0. A 8.7-point range covers every outcome here. Flat distribution — 0-1 tops it at just 14.0%. Scorelines above 8%: 4.
Derived from elo-poisson-v1 on full history — published as analysis, not as tips.
Match Report
Before the match
MB Rouisset's previous five results comprised two wins and three defeats. Their goal totals were 3 scored and 4 conceded, failing to score in three of those games. Latest: a 2-0 defeat away to MC Alger on 18 September.
MB Rouisset visited MC Alger on 18 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-2; their goals totalled zero, compared with two conceded. Olympique Akbou travelled to face MB Rouisset (Algeria Ligue 1) on 12 September. For MB Rouisset, the score was 2-0: two goals scored, zero allowed. 0-1 was MB Rouisset's result against JS Kabylie on 4 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; MB Rouisset lost, with zero scored to one conceded. The 5 June fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired MB Rouisset with Khenchela. MB Rouisset lost 0-1 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding one. Playing at home against USM Alger (Algeria Ligue 1), MB Rouisset finished 1-0 on 30 May. Their score comprised one goal, against zero from the opposition.
USM Alger: two wins and three draws over five games; nine goals scored, six conceded, unbeaten. Olympique Akbou were their latest opponents, away on 19 September: a 3-2 win.
On 19 September, Olympique Akbou faced USM Alger in Algeria Ligue 1: USM Alger won 3-2 away from home, having scored three and conceded two. Algeria Ligue 1, 10 September brought a home meeting with JS El Biar; USM Alger won 2-0, a return of two goals scored and zero conceded. USM Alger visited Khenchela on 4 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and drew 0-0; their goals totalled zero, compared with zero conceded. MC Oran hosted USM Alger (Algeria Ligue 1) on 6 June. For USM Alger, the score was 2-2: two goals scored, two allowed. 2-2 was USM Alger's result against Ben Aknoun on 4 June (Algeria Ligue 1), playing away from home; USM Alger drew, with two scored to two conceded.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 1-0 home win for MB Rouisset on 30 May and a 2-0 home win for USM Alger on 22 December 2025.
After the match
MB Rouisset edged past USM Alger 1-0 on 8 October 2026. A. El Orfi opened the scoring from the penalty spot 59 minutes into the game for MB Rouisset to make it 1-0. B. Hend (60'), Z. Draoui (69'), H. Salem (72'), (84'), (84') and M. Djahdou (89') were booked. Our current Elo ratings make USM Alger slightly the stronger side, by 69 rating points over MB Rouisset, even though it was MB Rouisset who won this one. The card tally for MB Rouisset was five yellow cards. five changes were recorded for MB Rouisset. one yellow card went to USM Alger. The substitution total for USM Alger was three. MB Rouisset finished with a clean sheet.