The head-to-head counts 22 recorded meetings since 2011: 11 to JS Kabylie, 5 to ASO Chlef, 6 drawn, 27-17 on aggregate. Most recently 2026, 2-1 in Algeria Ligue 1. History aside, the live ratings of 1700 and 1568 drive a 65.1% / 21.1% / 13.8% distribution.
The home side is rated higher. On expected goals the model has it 1.22 against 0.65. Most likely single result is JS Kabylie on 65.1%. Attack/defence pairs: 1.01/0.77 and 0.63/0.81. The higher rating expects 75.7% of the points, the lower 24.3%. First to second is a 44.0-point step, JS Kabylie over the draw. Against the 1500 start, the ratings run +200 and +68. The match finished 1-0. Behind them are 486 and 333 rated matches. 78.9% of the probability sits on a decisive outcome. Neither component contradicts the other: JS Kabylie leads 1.01-0.63 forward and 0.77-0.81 back. The three results cover 51.3 points. 1-0 is the single most probable result at 18.8%, clear of 0-0 on 15.5%. Scorelines above 8%: 5. Reduced to one result that is 1-0. Values shown are current rather than as-at-kickoff. The two ratings differ by 132 points.
All of the above is elo-poisson-v1 output built from complete results. Not betting advice.
Match Report
Before the match
JS Kabylie came into the game with three wins, one draw and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring eight goals and conceding three. A 1-0 defeat away to Témouchent (17 September) was their most recent result; their biggest win in that spell was 5-1 at home to ES Setif on 8 May.
JS Kabylie's away from home game on 17 September (Algeria Ligue 1) ended 0-1 against Témouchent, with zero goals for and one against. On 4 September, MB Rouisset faced JS Kabylie in Algeria Ligue 1: JS Kabylie won 1-0 at home, having scored one and conceded zero. Algeria Ligue 1, 5 June brought a home meeting with CR Belouizdad; JS Kabylie drew 0-0, a return of zero goals scored and zero conceded. JS Kabylie visited ASO Chlef on 20 May (Algeria Ligue 1) and won 2-1; their goals totalled two, compared with one conceded. ES Setif travelled to face JS Kabylie (Algeria Ligue 1) on 8 May. For JS Kabylie, the score was 5-1: five goals scored, one allowed.
ASO Chlef: one draw and four defeats over five games; four goals scored, 11 conceded, failing to score in three of those games, without a win. MC Oran were their latest opponents, at home on 18 September: a 1-0 defeat.
ASO Chlef hosted MC Oran on 18 September (Algeria Ligue 1) and lost 0-1; their goals totalled zero, compared with one conceded. CS Constantine hosted ASO Chlef (Algeria Ligue 1) on 12 September. For ASO Chlef, the score was 0-3: zero goals scored, three allowed. 3-3 was ASO Chlef's result against CR Belouizdad on 5 September (Algeria Ligue 1), playing at home; ASO Chlef drew, with three scored to three conceded. The 5 June fixture (Algeria Ligue 1) paired ASO Chlef with MC Alger. ASO Chlef lost 0-2 away from home, netting zero goals while conceding two. Playing at home against JS Kabylie (Algeria Ligue 1), ASO Chlef finished 1-2 on 20 May. Their score comprised one goal, against two from the opposition.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-1 away win for JS Kabylie on 20 May and a 2-1 home win for JS Kabylie on 27 December 2025.
After the match
JS Kabylie edged past ASO Chlef 1-0 on 9 October 2026. A. Mahious opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for JS Kabylie to make it 1-0. A. Hamdani (47'), A. Guendouz (72'), S. Lamrani (78') and A. Msanga (88') were booked. JS Kabylie's victory matches the model's current-rating preference: 65.1% for a win in this pairing. JS Kabylie: two yellow cards. five changes were recorded for JS Kabylie. two yellow cards went to ASO Chlef. The substitution total for ASO Chlef was four. A clean sheet for JS Kabylie.