20 meetings sit in the record, first in 2016, aggregate 32-22. The latest was 2026, 0-1 in Saudi Pro League. Currently 1532 against 1588 — a 37.5% / 27.7% / 34.8% split.
A 2.7-point gap between the top two is inside the noise. Rating separation comes to 56 points. Al-Ettifaq holds both halves of the profile — 1.04 against 0.82 for scoring, 1.05 against 1.10 for conceding, where the lower number is the better one. Nothing concentrates: top scoreline 1-1 on 11.8%. Rounded, that is 1-1. 3 scorelines clear 8% individually. Win-or-lose totals 72.3%; the draw takes the rest. The xG line reads 1.27 to 1.54. On the Elo curve, expected shares run 51.3% to 48.7%. Relative to the 1500 seed that every rating begins at: +32 and +88. These are live ratings — this fixture is already reflected in them. Raw profiles are 0.82 and 1.10 against 1.04 and 1.05. Al Taawon carries the largest share, 37.5%. A 9.8-point range covers every outcome here. The away side is rated higher. Final score: 1-1. The ratings draw on 337 and 317 rated matches, enough to be treated as settled.
From our elo-poisson-v1 model. Analysis only, not tips.
Match Report
Before the match
Al Taawon's previous five results comprised one draw and four defeats. Their goal totals were 2 scored and 13 conceded, failing to score in three of those games, with no wins. Al Riyadh were their latest opponents, away on 24 October: a 2-1 defeat.
On 24 October, Al Riyadh faced Al Taawon in Saudi Pro League: Al Taawon lost 1-2 away from home, having scored one and conceded two. Saudi Pro League, 20 October brought a home meeting with Al-Qadisiyah FC; Al Taawon lost 0-1, a return of zero goals scored and one conceded. Al Taawon visited Al Diriyah on 17 October (Saudi Pro League) and drew 1-1; their goals totalled one, compared with one conceded. Al Shabab hosted Al Taawon (Saudi Pro League) on 11 October. For Al Taawon, the score was 0-3: zero goals scored, three allowed. 0-6 was Al Taawon's result against Al-Hilal Saudi FC on 12 September (Saudi Pro League), playing at home; Al Taawon lost, with zero scored to six conceded.
Al-Ettifaq: two wins, two draws and one defeat over five games; nine goals scored, eight conceded. Latest: a 3-0 win away to Al Kholood on 24 October.
Against Al Kholood in Saudi Pro League, Al-Ettifaq scored three and conceded zero on 24 October; the away from home result was 3-0. Al-Ettifaq's at home game on 20 October (Saudi Pro League) ended 1-4 against Al-Ittihad FC, with one goal for and four against. On 17 October, NEOM faced Al-Ettifaq in Saudi Pro League: Al-Ettifaq won 1-0 away from home, having scored one and conceded zero. Saudi Pro League, 10 October brought a home meeting with Al Khaleej Saihat; Al-Ettifaq drew 1-1, a return of one goal scored and one conceded. Al-Ettifaq visited Al-Qadisiyah FC on 11 September (Saudi Pro League) and drew 3-3; their goals totalled three, compared with three conceded.
The last two recorded meetings were a 1-0 home win for Al-Ettifaq on 3 February and a 4-1 home win for Al Taawon on 18 September 2025.
After the match
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq drew 1-1 at King Abdullah Sports City, Buraidah on 31 October 2026. Abderrazak Hamdallah opened the scoring from the penalty spot in the 26th minute for Al Taawon to make it 1-0. Abdullah Al-Khateeb levelled it late on, in the 90th minute for Al-Ettifaq, set up by Bersant Celina, to make it 1-1. Parfait Guiagon (18'), Ondrej Duda (32'), Abderrazak Hamdallah (51'), Abdoulaye Kanté (69') and Abdalellah Hawsawi (91') were booked. The card tally for Al Taawon was two yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Al Taawon. Al-Ettifaq picked up three yellow cards. The substitution total for Al-Ettifaq was five.