Prior record: 2-0-2 across 4 since 2025. Most recent 2026, 1-2 in Saudi Pro League. Today those sides rate 1505 and 1588, 83 apart, which resolves to 33.7% / 27.4% / 38.9%.
Played and finished 0-3. A 5.2-point margin separates the top two outcomes. The four component numbers read 1.08, 1.51, 1.04, 1.05. With 80 and 317 rated matches apiece, both numbers are on solid ground. 83 points of rating separation. The model's preferred outcome is Al-Ettifaq at 38.9%. The ratings above are current values, not a pre-match snapshot. The single-scoreline output is 1-2. The three outcomes sit within 11.5 points of each other — an unusually flat distribution. 2 scorelines clear 8% individually. The xG line reads 1.68 to 2.12. Higher rating: the away side. Outcomes are scattered: top of the list is 1-2 at 8.4%. Honours split: 1.08 forward for Al Kholood, 1.05 back for Al-Ettifaq. The higher rating expects 52.6% of the points, the lower 47.4%. Against the 1500 rating every team starts from, they sit at +5 and +88. A decisive result carries 72.6% against 27.4% for the draw.
Computed by elo-poisson-v1 from the whole corpus rather than republished. Analytical only.
Match Report
Before the match
Al Kholood: one win, one draw and three defeats over five games; six goals scored, 13 conceded. Al-Faisaly FC were their latest opponents, away on 15 October: a 3-2 defeat.
2-3 was Al Kholood's result against Al-Faisaly FC on 15 October (Saudi Pro League), playing away from home; Al Kholood lost, with two scored to three conceded. The 9 October fixture (Saudi Pro League) paired Al Kholood with Al-Qadisiyah FC. Al Kholood lost 0-5 at home, netting zero goals while conceding five. Playing away from home against Al Riyadh (Saudi Pro League), Al Kholood finished 0-2 on 13 September. Their score comprised zero goals, against two from the opposition. 9 September: Al Kholood won 2-1 against Al Shabab at home in Saudi Pro League, scoring two goals and allowing one. Against Al-Fayha in Saudi Pro League, Al Kholood scored two and conceded two on 3 September; the away from home result was 2-2.
Al-Ettifaq came into the game with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring six goals and conceding eight. On 20 October, Al-Ettifaq recorded a 4-1 defeat hosting Al-Ittihad FC.
Al-Ittihad FC travelled to face Al-Ettifaq (Saudi Pro League) on 20 October. For Al-Ettifaq, the score was 1-4: one goal scored, four allowed. 1-0 was Al-Ettifaq's result against NEOM on 17 October (Saudi Pro League), playing away from home; Al-Ettifaq won, with one scored to zero conceded. The 10 October fixture (Saudi Pro League) paired Al-Ettifaq with Al Khaleej Saihat. Al-Ettifaq drew 1-1 at home, netting one goal while conceding one. Playing away from home against Al-Qadisiyah FC (Saudi Pro League), Al-Ettifaq finished 3-3 on 11 September. Their score comprised three goals, against three from the opposition. 8 September: Al-Ettifaq drew 0-0 against Al-Faisaly FC at home in Saudi Pro League, scoring zero goals and allowing zero.
Previous meetings in our records: a 2-1 away win for Al-Ettifaq on 24 January and a 2-1 home win for Al-Ettifaq on 28 August 2025.
After the match
Al-Ettifaq comfortably beat Al Kholood 3-0 at Al-Hazem Club Stadium, Rass on 24 October 2026. Khalid Al-Ghannam opened the scoring 47 minutes into the game for Al-Ettifaq, set up by Abdullah Al-Khateeb, to make it 1-0. Khalid Al-Ghannam added to the tally 48 minutes into the game for Al-Ettifaq, set up by Bersant Celina, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Al-Ettifaq extended the lead through Bersant Celina from the penalty spot 78 minutes into the game to make it 3-0. Yasir Al-Shammari (10'), Ondrej Duda (53'), John Buckley (57'), Julien Domingues (58') and Jordan Larsson (80') were booked. Every goal came after the interval. Al Kholood's current recorded form ends with 5 consecutive defeats in the 2026/27 Saudi Pro League. By expected goals the balance of play sat the other way: 1.88 to 1.33. Al Kholood picked up two yellow cards. The substitution total for Al Kholood was five. Al-Ettifaq: three yellow cards. five changes were recorded for Al-Ettifaq. A clean sheet for Al-Ettifaq.