26 meetings sit in the record, first in 2013, aggregate 20-44. The latest was 2026, 2-0 in Süper Lig. Today those sides rate 1502 and 1648, 146 apart, which resolves to 26.0% / 25.2% / 48.8%.
Reduced to one result that is 1-1. Neither figure is thin: 471 and 25 matches respectively sit behind them. Ratings update at full time; these are the post-match figures. From the 1500 baseline they currently stand at +2 and +148. The model's preferred outcome is Galatasaray at 48.8%. Result on the day: 0-4. The model's expected-goals figures are 1.25 and 1.94. Someone wins 74.8% of the time by this model. Outcomes span 23.6 points. 3 of the listed scorelines reach 8% or better. Raw profiles are 0.74 and 1.03 against 1.39 and 1.14. The split is one apiece: Galatasaray leads the attacking rate on 1.39, Konyaspor the defensive on 1.03. Distance between the ratings: 146 points, wide on this scale. Galatasaray holds a 22.8-point edge on the next outcome. 1-1 leads the scorelines at 10.0% — not a strong call. Elo expected shares: 38.5% and 61.5%. Higher rating: the away side.
Our elo-poisson-v1 rating generated these numbers. They are analysis and not advice to bet.
Match Report
Before the match
Konyaspor came into the game with one win, three draws and one defeat from their last five outings, scoring four goals and conceding three, keeping three clean sheets. A 2-0 win at home to Gençlerbirliği S.K. (25 October) was their most recent result.
The 25 October fixture (Süper Lig) paired Konyaspor with Gençlerbirliği S.K.. Konyaspor won 2-0 at home, netting two goals while conceding zero. Playing away from home against Amed (Süper Lig), Konyaspor finished 0-1 on 17 October. Their score comprised zero goals, against one from the opposition. 11 October: Konyaspor drew 0-0 against Başakşehir at home in Süper Lig, scoring zero goals and allowing zero. Against Palestine in International Friendlies, Konyaspor scored two and conceded two on 30 September; the at home result was 2-2. Konyaspor's away from home game on 18 September (Süper Lig) ended 0-0 against Kasımpaşa, with zero goals for and zero against.
Galatasaray: four wins and one defeat over five games; 11 goals scored, eight conceded. Latest: a 2-1 win at home to Fenerbahçe on 26 October.
Galatasaray hosted Fenerbahçe on 26 October (Süper Lig) and won 2-1; their goals totalled two, compared with one conceded. Lille hosted Galatasaray (Champions League) on 21 October. For Galatasaray, the score was 4-2: four goals scored, two allowed. 1-0 was Galatasaray's result against Gençlerbirliği S.K. on 17 October (Süper Lig), playing away from home; Galatasaray won, with one scored to zero conceded. The 13 October fixture (Champions League) paired Galatasaray with Barça. Galatasaray lost 1-4 at home, netting one goal while conceding four. Playing at home against Kasımpaşa (Süper Lig), Galatasaray finished 3-1 on 9 October. Their score comprised three goals, against one from the opposition.
The teams' recorded encounters ended in a 2-0 home win for Konyaspor on 21 February and a 3-1 home win for Galatasaray on 22 September 2025.
After the match
Galatasaray overwhelmed Konyaspor 4-0 on 30 October 2026. V. Osimhen opened the scoring inside the first 12 minutes for Galatasaray, set up by Gabriel Sara, to make it 1-0. Y. Akgun added to the tally in the 28th minute for Galatasaray, set up by A. Batrakov, to make it 2-0. With the 3rd goal, Galatasaray extended the lead through A. Batrakov 49 minutes into the game, set up by Gabriel Sara, to make it 3-0. R. Leao scored the 4th goal for Galatasaray from the penalty spot 55 minutes into the game as they extended the lead to make it 4-0. Gabriel Sara (31'), D. Turuc (51') and M. Jevtovic (90') were booked. On current ratings the model puts Galatasaray at around 1.94 gols in this pairing; they scored 4 here. Galatasaray's current recorded form ends with 4 consecutive wins in the 2026/27 Süper Lig and the 2026/27 Champions League. Expected goals put the gap at 1.19 to 2.52. Konyaspor picked up two yellow cards. Konyaspor: six substitutions. Galatasaray picked up one yellow card. Galatasaray: six substitutions. Galatasaray kept their opponents scoreless.